TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,994 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c9,855$4,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,906.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c9,197$5,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,925.054,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Over43c5,279$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,009.2917852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under46c3,887$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.222,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under49c3,867$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.782,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over55c3,455$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.555959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aae…419dbacked Under44c3,318$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.531241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c3,232$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.22,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Under46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3804341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Under50c2,887$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.055234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c2,825$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Under57c2,632$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c2,500$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.713,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c2,500$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.433,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under46c2,455$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.21,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under55c2,390$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.974,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Over55c2,273$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.738530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…5baabacked Over36c2,108$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.24825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over55c2,004$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.1511545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9830626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Under51c1,970$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013223.5%31 W · 101 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ce7…432fbacked Over55c1,876$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.422147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8a…e818backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.185322.6%12 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dae…fff9backed Over55c1,771$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.916631.8%21 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over54c1,658$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.521,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under46c1,634$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.992,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c1,549$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.672,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under50c1,499$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.9328025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over34c1,482$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.9821641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under46c1,365$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.7997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under45c1,287$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.0838026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over55c1,273$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.7316747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked Under64c1,094$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70012854.7%70 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2c…898abacked Over55c1,049$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.095263.5%33 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over51c1,029$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.4125643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c1,010$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.13,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43bb…26dbbacked Over53c999.99$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.64759.6%28 W · 19 L+10.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+70.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x08b2…bed6backed Over54c956.96$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.24669.6%32 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x788c…8c15backed Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.098036.3%29 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under45c741.47$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.61,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed Under45c700$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3154032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf07c…78f6backed Over44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8212954.3%70 W · 59 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under34c670.7$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.834,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under45c657$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6530345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bb…1c11backed Under47c619.04$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.956637.9%25 W · 41 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Over34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2415455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under46c553.05$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.563,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a9…22cdbacked Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.452231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74fe…6eaebacked Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Over55c518.18$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1812529.6%37 W · 88 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2259351.6%48 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28517052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22528945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over54c499.96$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9895739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f1…a30fbacked Under53c499.73$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.592630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0936…fb00backed Over55c478.08$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.148264.6%53 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Under64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021052.4%110 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over55c455$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.751,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over59c450$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7887237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Under46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005437%20 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfedd…3d6dbacked Over55c429.09$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.093773%27 W · 10 L+6.2wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+22.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x282b…bb32backed Under47c428.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Under46c400$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18210141.6%42 W · 59 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over57c374.34$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9614323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6410224.5%25 W · 77 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005356.6%30 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa054…07c2backed Over55c334.91$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.712437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd865…96babacked Over55c331.33$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.19337.6%35 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1918…06afbacked Under46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503718.9%7 W · 30 L-6.6wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-58.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Under64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under64c300.59$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0628164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13818448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over50c297.08$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.231,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1a4…99d0backed Under43c291.71$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.64520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-66.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb086…8291backed Over51c288.29$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.26580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+43.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4423…47fdbacked Over55c281.82$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8212244.3%54 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d9…9beebacked Over37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.274746.8%22 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Under4c262.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcad4…317abacked Under48c250.21$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010246.1%47 W · 55 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under18c245.05$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.562,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0e…e5bcbacked Over55c239.12$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.64465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa77c…819ebacked Over55c239.12$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.61346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3743…7bc1backed Over42c236.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6519660.7%119 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd252…4058backed Over54c232.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.186767.2%45 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c5…4667backed Under43c232.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under43c231.95$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.391,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9583…fa5dbacked Over55c227.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2714148.2%68 W · 73 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over64c223$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7965036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1c6…d2d6backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f5…6ea2backed Over56c214.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under55c206.62$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.649650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under31c203$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.482,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9214252.1%74 W · 68 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11220651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9014946.3%69 W · 80 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff0…0ff5backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929364.5%60 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3300…ead7backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9217558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0823554.9%129 W · 106 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.47331.5%23 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.