TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5928…1f1d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$6.2
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.55
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.83
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$8.71
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$16.89
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66%+$39.56
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.8
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.42
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$48.23
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$40.99
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$32.91
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$7.83
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$33.08
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports Challenger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$65.88
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.79
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$53.37
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$42.85
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$12.86
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$59.63
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$26.35
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$10.58
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.93
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.72
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$8.4
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.