TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,309 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b32…5950backed No76c11,580$8,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,826.914356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes30c10,498$3,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,142.19219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No56c6,731$3,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,975.723345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes40c5,705$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc814…dc7cbacked No60c5,144$3,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+245.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes36c4,878$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.711145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes37c4,324$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.7713219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4807433.8%25 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Yes52c3,114$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.241428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-56.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked No62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No60c2,692$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.8721337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…3d8abacked Yes2c2,667$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+179.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes53c2,373$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.478939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec4…d553backed Yes16c2,130$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.811136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes20c2,000$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.18137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-87.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0deb…12c9backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes1c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305521.8%12 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No63c2,000$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.998330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No68c1,870$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.292766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes5c1,728$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.87028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed No65c1,644$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.881233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82c…9b0cbacked No64c1,620$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes20c1,540$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.26225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed No63c1,523$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.634348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Yes35c1,440$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…af12backed Yes20c1,413$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes35c1,362$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.941540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df1…38dfbacked Yes15c1,285$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes22c1,202$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes16c1,157$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.747233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d73…7bd9backed Yes17c1,146$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick33cpaid+84.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No79c1,056$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3112646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes9c1,025$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b69…972bbacked Yes11c1,012$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No64c999.98$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.992055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No54c891.71$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.1211266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes33c872.84$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.655137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a45…cf97backed Yes37c810.15$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.865420.4%11 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No62c699.98$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.992669.2%18 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf7f6…037cbacked Yes18c661.94$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfe1…3b9ebacked Yes38c624.1$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes32c600.03$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.612523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed Yes14c599.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8312419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No64c584.26$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9120843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…0910backed Yes18c564.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed Yes35c557.12$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes16c538.75$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.26835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ade…bb46backed Yes37c533.16$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes18c500$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No54c454.79$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.539165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2abc…b515backed Yes51c454.27$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No52c451.53$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.565763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes38c448$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.491464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No78c415.96$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2112353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19260%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No61c366.45$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.044673.9%34 W · 12 L+8.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc172…a1cabacked Yes8c364$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes32c355.94$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3112325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44c…d797backed Yes35c324.34$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes22c314.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5112616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No57c301.09$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.633571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7aa3…6449backed No63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc66…2206backed Yes36c283.33$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed No76c282.71$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.711758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No65c270.57$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.922944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2c…c0a0backed Yes15c258.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3832…7044backed Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+97.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0982…92c6backed Yes14c250$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364015%6 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b13…850bbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc3f…0ffbbacked Yes16c238.88$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x795d…e5c0backed Yes17c233.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes31c226.85$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.366633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes36c221.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2360%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd673…1b22backed Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745717.5%10 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No72c200$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5710051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebf…c7b5backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick25cpaid-86.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaca5…3816backed Yes16c200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311216.7%2 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd22c…c656backed Yes25c193.55$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.611136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2847…5439backed Yes35c183.25$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No61c173.19$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.056966.7%46 W · 23 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb854…d139backed Yes21c170$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83f2…85babacked Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7023…d5e1backed Yes19c166.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.231030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes36c166$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.761723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87cd…6f2abacked No77c154.31$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.831060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc657…9f83backed Yes44c149.61$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes21c136$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.03137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-86.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fd9…0ac5backed Yes15c131.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698a…e498backed Yes16c131.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c7…5823backed Yes15c127.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba71…290bbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+115.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe851…6adebacked Yes16c123.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb43b…5a7cbacked Yes17c115$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes36c111$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.963250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcb…a331backed Yes36c105.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4bb…9f7ebacked Yes38c105.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.921735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2249…85cabacked Yes16c100.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.151070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7804…7347backed Yes20c100.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes15c100.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.027950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b0…9017backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.