Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea vs. Tottenham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b2a4314f63a911fc35908ab54ce0720957c7c3b85fdc1007c387c645ab03441
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41e7…de49backed No | 78c | 99,999$77,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,999.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…0b66backed Yes | 22c | 99,999$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,999.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…1bb9backed Yes | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a63…651dbacked No | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7782…35d9backed Yes | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b9…c5b9backed No | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 77c | 3,574$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.47 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 78c | 2,615$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.4 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 22c | 2,418$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.27 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Yes | 24c | 1,809$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 24c | 1,627$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.88 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Yes | 23c | 987$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 24c | 883.33$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed No | 79c | 705.49$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…32bbbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 22c | 453.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 31c | 320.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Yes | 30c | 296.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed No | 79c | 251.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 80c | 171.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 21c | 170.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 22c | 157.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…94d9backed Yes | 13c | 126$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes | 24c | 121.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 42c | 93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 89.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69c…f1b0backed Yes | 23c | 87.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…8a0cbacked No | 79c | 68.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…95c7backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…9ee0backed Yes | 53c | 67.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 21c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 29.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…f046backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 77c | 14.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea vs. Tottenham end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-03?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.