Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe31c79ee9d58c984bd950f125234ac959881860356eb4d3dfe7a0729ff3f31d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 22c | 5,482$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb8…1456backed Yes | 10c | 1,126$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Yes | 19c | 1,124$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.58 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 19c | 1,020$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 21c | 999.9$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.74 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 10c | 815.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.56 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x68f7…5e86backed Yes | 6c | 794.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 80c | 777$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 80c | 500.95$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe1…4628backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 79c | 422.86$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Yes | 21c | 422.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 20c | 386.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Yes | 10c | 299.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…b6babacked Yes | 19c | 261$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 19c | 175.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 19c | 128.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Yes | 21c | 109.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…4da6backed Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 23c | 91.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba40…b7b7backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…c4bdbacked No | 80c | 71.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 79c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 19c | 53.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a6…471cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9e…15e3backed No | 80c | 19.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3784…a44bbacked No | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…baa2backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-03?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Tottenham end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.