TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$289,754
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$367,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,754 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18d2…81e0backed Yes59c101,792$59,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,828.22646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No34c31,995$10,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,845.4279650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No41c15,500$6,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,349.9930851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa074…49c3backed Yes65c15,326$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,325.551353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed No40c14,844$5,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,965.94143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No40c12,560$5,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,050.5137652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No36c11,213$4,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,065.8717745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed No44c9,240$4,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,058.762268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked Yes73c8,784$6,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.052556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes56c8,580$4,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,775.2211454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes60c7,667$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.9518948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No41c7,366$2,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,984.6738645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No8c7,286$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.415413%7 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes60c4,325$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.547341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes59c2,693$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.9911548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No40c2,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.9641437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes50c2,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0105653.6%30 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+64.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9940640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed Yes73c1,870$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8655…a314backed Yes59c1,703$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7be6…0530backed No41c1,700$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes62c1,696$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.452060%12 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.921070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+66.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed No38c1,431$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.014264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes59c1,252$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.4429044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No41c1,169$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.4719735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked No25c1,164$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.445257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes63c1,109$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.3712053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No7c926.35$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7816851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes71c925$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3369772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked No42c872.14$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.455558.2%32 W · 23 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No18c855.25$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7934251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Yes59c842$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.225100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Yes59c762.15$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.481258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+48.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd354…bee1backed No26c753.09$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes62c645$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.12755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No31c530$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5736954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes60c502.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.829938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb636…32bbbacked No41c500.36$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.26633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed No42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21511761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe941…4623backed No48c493.5$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Yes61c489.05$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.731963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes59c442.08$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.255740.4%23 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Yes61c438.3$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.945050%25 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16427752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b3…e5a9backed No42c396.62$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb8…1456backed No48c375$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed No41c360$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.18254.9%45 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes60c353.72$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4930666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2bd8…2cf0backed Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Yes60c338.73$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed No42c327.76$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.665740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68f7…5e86backed Yes60c321.61$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.93812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-79.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6984…1b67backed No42c309.95$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No46c304.07$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8737054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd1…639bbacked Yes59c300.2$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12321153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked No41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12040135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes59c271.42$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.286139.3%24 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…80dabacked Yes59c257.36$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2432737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.241752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No40c224$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.652060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…f57dbacked No25c216.64$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.311747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9214062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes60c192.95$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.185358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02aa…7ce1backed Yes60c182.35$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes60c173.77$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5126054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked No42c171.37$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.839242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4942240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.495349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed No15c168.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.146051.7%31 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.677650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.933948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No41c159.1$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2340046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes67c150$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.561844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes55c149.09$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0913149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd4…e888backed Yes61c147.72$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…bc89backed Yes68c131.28$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.011353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ee…b078backed Yes59c118.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de4…548fbacked No42c118.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2301…1b33backed Yes60c113.38$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No42c111.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.916955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Yes60c104$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x518a…576bbacked No42c103.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb5…eb0abacked No42c101.07$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…a8cdbacked Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabd4…853dbacked Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c37…4e9bbacked Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No46c99.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.994928.6%14 W · 35 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Yes59c94.5$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.759150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c2…dc4fbacked No42c91.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.