Cricket · resolved market
Kolkata Knight Riders vs. Lucknow Super Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe011409f6dc6ab2fb8c0211546c1c7bc62bd6464ca29ab09b9d8e3bf2a8c040c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucknowof Kolkata , Lucknow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb636…32bbbacked Lucknow | 10c | 9,465$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,513.96 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Lucknow | 17c | 5,450$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,505 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Lucknow | 50c | 1,668$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.21 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1d…dc5ebacked Kolkata | 57c | 900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Kolkata | 52c | 767.43$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.76 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…7123backed Lucknow | 49c | 545$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bee5backed Lucknow | 43c | 545$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…3a54backed Lucknow | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…d9e8backed Kolkata | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…e9fabacked Lucknow | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…bb46backed Lucknow | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc1…bfedbacked Lucknow | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed Lucknow | 43c | 210$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…9d1bbacked Lucknow | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…6a67backed Lucknow | 43c | 205$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…7f5abacked Lucknow | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…4f6ebacked Lucknow | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Lucknow | 45c | 190$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…9151backed Kolkata | 57c | 190$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Lucknow | 46c | 113.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae2…7e82backed Lucknow | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b05…396dbacked Lucknow | 43c | 95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3075…9143backed Lucknow | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Kolkata | 53c | 90.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1a…3292backed Kolkata | 57c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…c867backed Kolkata | 57c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…ad41backed Kolkata | 30c | 64.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…2109backed Lucknow | 70c | 64.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Lucknow | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…36a7backed Lucknow | 47c | 53.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked Lucknow | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed38…4f73backed Lucknow | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fc…6eb7backed Kolkata | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc85…b081backed Lucknow | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa246…a09cbacked Lucknow | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Lucknow | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked Lucknow | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.