Cricket · resolved market
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Gujarat Titans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc0242c154b37634ca11b3edd2c830b1165d04a7e5440b8993d9a2bdf4848aa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucknowof Lucknow, Gujarat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadae…a7a2backed Lucknow | 51c | 18,231$9,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,933.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…0c5bbacked Gujarat | 49c | 18,231$8,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,933.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Lucknow | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Gujarat | 51c | 776.17$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e8…a3fdbacked Gujarat | 29c | 767.73$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.71 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Lucknow | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Gujarat | 50c | 670$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Lucknow | 49c | 636.17$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.45 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Gujarat | 53c | 442.62$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.59 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Gujarat | 52c | 357.9$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.11 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Lucknow | 48c | 322.36$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Gujarat | 50c | 280.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lucknow | 48c | 212.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Gujarat | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…c075backed Lucknow | 78c | 162.76$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…429dbacked Lucknow | 51c | 146.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…32bbbacked Gujarat | 30c | 139.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…7a85backed Lucknow | 47c | 119$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa5…6343backed Lucknow | 51c | 112.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…d8bcbacked Lucknow | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Gujarat | 56c | 89.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…503bbacked Gujarat | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Lucknow | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…a9bebacked Lucknow | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…36a7backed Lucknow | 50c | 49.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Gujarat | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 48cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…3878backed Gujarat | 51c | 34.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.