Cricket · resolved market
Sunrisers Hyderabad vs. Mumbai Indians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53f0eb2ff6292cbcd54e2483a331c38279e0210f1b62785df56d4bcfc9191263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mumbai Indiansof Sunrisers Hyderabad, Mumbai Indians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a1…e8bbbacked Mumbai Indians | 60c | 32,855$19,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,142 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…3232backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 40c | 31,400$12,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,560 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…f535backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 40c | 30,505$12,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,202 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…fddcbacked Mumbai Indians | 60c | 29,050$17,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,620 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 42c | 1,129$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.54 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Mumbai Indians | 58c | 1,074$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.39 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked Mumbai Indians | 59c | 1,010$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mumbai Indians | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 41c | 805.09$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.09 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e8…a3fdbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 34c | 729.01$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.74 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Mumbai Indians | 63c | 374.7$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.71 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…0203backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 43c | 232.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…32bbbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 10c | 232.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…7a85backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 42c | 142.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 41c | 119.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mumbai Indians | 59c | 102.66$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a76…cc8fbacked Mumbai Indians | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Mumbai Indians | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…3878backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Mumbai Indians | 59c | 44.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Mumbai Indians | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…086abacked Mumbai Indians | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.