Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc52a4b0204518a4b9c28ca08a958ded00bb606b82bb49c4788cf7e1e6c5fab74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked No | 17c | 18,694$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,501.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes | 75c | 13,334$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 25c | 9,272$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,923.71 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 26c | 6,839$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,085.59 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 15c | 6,094$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,171.24 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 17c | 5,523$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,598.28 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 16c | 4,734$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.86 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 18c | 4,650$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,812.97 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 68c | 4,000$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.55 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 28c | 3,889$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.38 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.05 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.98 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…7afcbacked No | 32c | 2,649$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +209.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048b…8f67backed Yes | 78c | 2,239$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…32bbbacked No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 35c | 1,808$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.16 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 79c | 1,535$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 34c | 1,203$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.76 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked No | 18c | 1,200$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…1d9cbacked Yes | 50c | 992.72$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 74c | 900$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 65c | 896.17$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.78 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Yes | 68c | 844.99$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Yes | 71c | 842.84$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5411…72c0backed Yes | 65c | 768.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed No | 18c | 709.06$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 20c | 558$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.53 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 17c | 543.94$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.46 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 25c | 515$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.25 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 21c | 490.41$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.42 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 18c | 454.51$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.78 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 17c | 450$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 18c | 400$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…26ecbacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +172%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed Yes | 80c | 345.72$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.69 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 61c | 297.33$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.53 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes | 74c | 268.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 19c | 266.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.4 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 57c | 261.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…6ce4backed Yes | 54c | 259.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Yes | 42c | 236.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 57c | 194.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed No | 70c | 167.93$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed No | 18c | 167$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.94 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46d…e19ebacked Yes | 63c | 165.36$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 32c | 123$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…b734backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Yes | 73c | 99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 76c | 91.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes | 75c | 80.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…b5eabacked Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed No | 49c | 74.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 55c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 23c | 47.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…627bbacked Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…9e7abacked Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…21b7backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b0…9a3cbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f07…83acbacked Yes | 59c | 24.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae20…245abacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-10?this page
- Will Southampton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Southampton win on 2025-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.