Cricket · resolved market
Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x680cd43bdf64ac026e793c130eacf7a1d91d5ee25f771ea12d96b0897182c2d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gujaratof Gujarat, Mumbai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Gujarat | 52c | 14,078$7,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,776.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Mumbai | 51c | 9,734$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.02 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Mumbai | 33c | 2,073$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Gujarat | 47c | 1,271$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfafa…3947backed Mumbai | 41c | 1,265$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…32bbbacked Mumbai | 45c | 1,250$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.78 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…852abacked Mumbai | 11c | 1,200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mumbai | 54c | 1,000$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.08 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mumbai | 53c | 843.58$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.09 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4fddbacked Gujarat | 55c | 529.4$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.18 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Gujarat | 55c | 517.29$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Gujarat | 48c | 489$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.28 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Mumbai | 52c | 411.07$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.76 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…503bbacked Mumbai | 52c | 301.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Gujarat | 46c | 290.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Gujarat | 47c | 275.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…a3fbbacked Mumbai | 17c | 274.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Mumbai | 52c | 271.19$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.02 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…35d1backed Mumbai | 43c | 236.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Gujarat | 45c | 207.95$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Mumbai | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…159ebacked Mumbai | 26c | 192.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1d…a08fbacked Mumbai | 49c | 178.42$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Gujarat | 52c | 107$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Gujarat | 49c | 102.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Mumbai | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…adf1backed Gujarat | 48c | 99.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mumbai | 51c | 96.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…a9bebacked Mumbai | 45c | 77.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Gujarat | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…3045backed Mumbai | 48c | 68.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…bb46backed Gujarat | 50c | 60.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…4f6ebacked Gujarat | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Gujarat | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…b49bbacked Mumbai | 42c | 38.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…ad41backed Mumbai | 55c | 36.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e2…1470backed Gujarat | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…4ecebacked Mumbai | 49c | 22.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…fe6bbacked Gujarat | 52c | 21.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.