NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bdd7955df11675badaa36cf7ac83c758da9c845b0b21361315bcf66c7522719
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Capitals, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 56c | 7,656$4,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.58 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Wild | 44c | 4,910$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.63 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wild | 42c | 4,894$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.77 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Wild | 44c | 3,825$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.15 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Wild | 41c | 3,561$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.29 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Capitals | 58c | 3,450$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Capitals | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wild | 42c | 2,935$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.22 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Capitals | 60c | 2,917$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Capitals | 57c | 2,609$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Capitals | 59c | 2,600$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Wild | 42c | 2,192$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.36 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Wild | 73c | 2,061$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.32 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Wild | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Capitals | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 58c | 1,710$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.46 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 37c | 1,658$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.32 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Capitals | 28c | 1,389$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.89 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Wild | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a48…9f3ebacked Wild | 43c | 1,321$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3318…ea60backed Capitals | 57c | 1,321$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Capitals | 16c | 1,276$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe696…36a0backed Wild | 43c | 1,121$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…a81ebacked Capitals | 57c | 1,121$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 56c | 1,102$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.72 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Capitals | 57c | 1,082$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Wild | 43c | 1,082$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Capitals | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wild | 43c | 948.8$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.81 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Capitals | 32c | 828.44$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.1 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Wild | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6eb…51e9backed Capitals | 58c | 521.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wild | 40c | 499.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.97 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 64c | 486.9$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.42 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wild | 40c | 420.81$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.49 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals | 18c | 405.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wild | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Capitals | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wild | 42c | 336.36$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.16 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wild | 42c | 331$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.17 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9a…abc4backed Wild | 42c | 218.52$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wild | 41c | 209.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…577dbacked Capitals | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Capitals | 59c | 146.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Capitals | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b2…ab20backed Wild | 44c | 133.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wild | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…41d5backed Wild | 44c | 118.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Wild | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…10d6backed Wild | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…19e2backed Capitals | 57c | 95.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…0533backed Wild | 44c | 92.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…f1e0backed Capitals | 57c | 89.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7c…eae8backed Capitals | 57c | 88.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 57c | 87.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…cb9ebacked Capitals | 57c | 81.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…c324backed Capitals | 57c | 79.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Capitals | 29c | 75.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Capitals | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…4816backed Wild | 44c | 72.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Capitals | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd025…1c54backed Capitals | 61c | 62.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…7c2fbacked Wild | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Wild | 45c | 60.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f30…75bdbacked Wild | 44c | 58.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ab…c382backed Capitals | 57c | 52.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…58b3backed Wild | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Capitals | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…6b3ebacked Capitals | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wild | 43c | 49.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Capitals | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Capitals | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Wild | 40c | 41.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c41…60d0backed Wild | 41c | 41.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Capitals | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Capitals | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wild | 42c | 39.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…86c9backed Capitals | 57c | 38.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Wild | 40c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…f7b5backed Capitals | 57c | 37.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5977…e5a4backed Capitals | 39c | 35.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…b1eebacked Capitals | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Capitals | 39c | 34.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…ffd0backed Capitals | 60c | 34.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Capitals | 58c | 34.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Wild | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…2680backed Capitals | 60c | 33.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…a5fbbacked Capitals | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36e…f9adbacked Capitals | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a8…20bcbacked Wild | 41c | 30.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Capitals | 47c | 30.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…abfcbacked Wild | 42c | 30.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3aa…7c68backed Capitals | 60c | 29.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28a…6bdcbacked Wild | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…05bfbacked Wild | 41c | 28.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.