TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Angels vs. Royals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Royalsof Angels, Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$281,022
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$288,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,022 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7435…a620backed Royals59c172,116$101,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,567.4528646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Angels41c52,000$21,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,32044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Angels41c45,000$18,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,450.560451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels41c26,279$10,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,774.521,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Angels41c18,615$7,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,632.151,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Angels41c10,703$4,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,388.2323455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Royals52c10,142$5,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,834.441,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Royals59c9,320$5,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,780.8813065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Angels41c7,500$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0751,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Angels67c4,652$3,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,115.553046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals42c4,591$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,667.421,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals59c3,429$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.951,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Angels58c3,081$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.999,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Angels54c3,064$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.6721847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Angels40c2,701$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.450843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels42c2,658$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.492,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Angels40c2,489$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.7856451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Angels41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012247.5%58 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Royals62c2,438$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.1511345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Angels41c2,200$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90216352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals42c2,195$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.8595930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Angels14c2,050$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.6943946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Royals41c1,998$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.0417243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Angels41c1,950$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.51,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Angels41c1,666$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.0934245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Royals34c1,514$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.922,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb37c…164ebacked Angels41c1,414$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.732955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Angels61c1,380$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.879740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Angels42c1,368$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.489842.9%42 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Angels43c1,284$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.625551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Angels40c1,140$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45612436.3%45 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Angels42c1,116$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.7257744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Royals57c1,093$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.171751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b9…3b2fbacked Royals58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d7…6f3ebacked Angels42c1,026$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0238…208ebacked Angels42c1,024$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+65.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72a3…98afbacked Royals58c1,016$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.72977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Angels40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40051151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4a…048ebacked Angels41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4107247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Angels67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6706845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Royals58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42022142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Royals58c986.86$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.481,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Angels36c851.79$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.7878445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Angels41c827.9$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.8573149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels41c797.69$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.0583248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Angels40c781$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.444443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Royals60c750$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30030151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Angels42c714$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.881,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Angels42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Angels41c610$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.143654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Angels41c554$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Angels42c476.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9956351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Royals58c417.05$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1624253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Angels42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1683,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Royals59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16492754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Angels42c399.98$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.991,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Royals57c398.55$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.181,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344d…1278backed Angels71c381.76$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2713959%23 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Angels41c364.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6331347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90e…107abacked Angels65c362.45$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2342965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Royals57c357.89$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.899551.6%49 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…a2b4backed Royals58c351.72$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Angels43c337.19$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.840144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Royals39c316.95$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.26,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Angels60c305$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1521246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Royals58c283.58$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.111257.1%64 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Angels52c276.97$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5770841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Angels55c269.39$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9776456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Royals74c260$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.668769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8613…59f0backed Angels69c251.96$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.461752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Angels43c239.86$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.141,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Royals59c237.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b6…97b7backed Angels43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1148…dc44backed Royals58c227.59$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.593751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Angels62c211.29$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13155653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3545…741dbacked Angels37c206.54$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.752030%6 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fd0…7efcbacked Royals58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e40…4efabacked Angels42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8381…ebcfbacked Angels42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7623…565dbacked Angels42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…78e3backed Royals58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845446.3%25 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac5…3536backed Royals58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845060%30 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d3…6f65backed Angels42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x247e…3a07backed Angels42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8e2…5daebacked Angels42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a5b…02fabacked Angels42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d07…3068backed Angels42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8f…963ebacked Angels42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845839.7%23 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x093b…e84cbacked Angels42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cca…6c96backed Angels42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845046%23 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee96…55e1backed Angels42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8981…f8bdbacked Angels42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b1…9335backed Royals58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6b…122dbacked Royals58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c32…7ff0backed Royals58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc815…d9d0backed Angels42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c7…c60fbacked Royals58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845046%23 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7164…f463backed Angels42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa308…46aebacked Royals58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc26…1430backed Royals58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.