TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Nuggets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Clippers, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,240,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,276,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,240,859 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 540 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x011f…1122backed Clippers28c188,419$51,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,885.0846426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Nuggets46c55,555$25,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,999.6128241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Nuggets58c48,267$28,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,264.4327251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05b9…af0abacked Clippers39c36,381$14,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,259.782240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Nuggets61c35,749$21,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,884.4622457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Clippers28c33,603$9,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,249.3323237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Clippers55c33,178$18,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,247.9747848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd32…33c4backed Nuggets79c31,005$24,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,363.941225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6790…5e06backed Clippers10c30,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007335.6%26 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93fc…34b6backed Nuggets45c30,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,499.994025%10 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Clippers11c28,614$3,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,205.3113731.4%43 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Clippers38c28,119$10,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,747.475433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Clippers38c23,000$8,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,82036748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Nuggets46c22,782$10,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,259.2328341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Nuggets68c22,332$15,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,116.6612938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba8…61b7backed Clippers1c22,053$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.63925.6%10 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick17cpaid-9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Nuggets46c20,211$9,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,935.443148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Clippers11c19,210$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.7912232%39 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaad5…ac2ebacked Clippers16c18,666$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,044.656532.3%21 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Clippers36c16,694$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00023342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Clippers54c15,957$8,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,656.2719149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets73c15,502$11,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,138.151,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Clippers52c13,759$7,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,202.246454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Nuggets46c13,000$5,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,079.9916641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Nuggets45c12,727$5,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,939.783666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Clippers47c12,699$5,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,984.6980146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Clippers32c12,456$3,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,993.5428347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets45c9,238$4,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,111.8396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nuggets70c9,072$6,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.3649849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Clippers0c8,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.43350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Clippers28c7,674$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,130.5448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Clippers28c7,512$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.45728.1%16 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Nuggets68c7,000$4,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24012657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Clippers4c6,938$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25138027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers53c6,868$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,640.21,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Clippers55c6,051$3,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,327.7814052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Clippers55c5,803$3,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,191.745736.8%21 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Nuggets45c5,785$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,168.7814434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Clippers2c5,088$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.838783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Clippers12c5,012$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.457953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Nuggets59c5,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,06047542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Clippers29c4,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.998229.3%24 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Clippers55c4,332$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4005536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Clippers29c4,222$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.3626431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Clippers17c4,084$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.9711019.1%21 W · 89 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Clippers56c3,888$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.2117348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd656…d127backed Clippers4c3,348$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.331346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed Clippers41c3,308$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.43243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers7c3,274$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.191,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6bd…0b58backed Clippers11c3,233$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Nuggets68c3,190$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.932330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.1wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-49.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1925…1ddbbacked Clippers4c3,062$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.56235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Nuggets70c3,037$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.6129957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Clippers29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Nuggets45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.966339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Nuggets60c2,815$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.4888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce13…a213backed Clippers54c2,525$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.481435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf137…a557backed Nuggets46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3501353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Clippers54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.977051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Nuggets65c2,394$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.8366732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Clippers55c2,350$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.4520856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets60c2,333$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.3366744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Clippers1c2,270$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.917211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf935…51abbacked Nuggets46c2,009$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+82.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Nuggets46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08016844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Clippers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4727…aa86backed Nuggets65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+62.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5b…bee1backed Clippers32c1,953$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.031844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d8…a851backed Nuggets46c1,863$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.12875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bc5…63c0backed Clippers54c1,859$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.86850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Clippers53c1,828$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.8473647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Nuggets50c1,824$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.413345.9%61 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Clippers31c1,817$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.6423135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x130f…5d50backed Clippers3c1,778$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.091040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Clippers1c1,705$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.124423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Nuggets76c1,687$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.7313248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6205…7bbebacked Clippers6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Clippers27c1,659$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.6914034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Nuggets61c1,610$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.737261.1%44 W · 28 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Nuggets45c1,600$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.9527547.6%131 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Nuggets46c1,499$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.5836843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Clippers47c1,496$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.9913636.8%50 W · 86 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers50c1,482$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.246,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aad…4e00backed Nuggets70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.571947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d92…83efbacked Clippers24c1,317$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.671631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Clippers55c1,317$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.6318448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Clippers54c1,300$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Nuggets65c1,156$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.9917943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Clippers39c1,122$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.5441742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c7…0682backed Clippers1c1,100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Clippers5c1,021$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.11434.9%7 W · 136 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Clippers54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54066153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Clippers18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012222.1%27 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6b…3ba7backed Clippers20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001625%4 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nuggets60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bd…1a8ebacked Nuggets46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71ef…e7b6backed Clippers55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Clippers31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3109946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f84…560fbacked Clippers56c914.29$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5121346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd95a…4844backed Clippers22c909.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.51233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.