MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf449dd7e5f40dc4c77745ee6b9ca3a88284c51a8c793bd7a31a0defe59b48716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Angels, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 9c | 22,576$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.56 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Angels | 20c | 9,415$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.21 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels | 35c | 5,913$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.63 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Angels | 37c | 3,150$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.49 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Padres | 65c | 3,083$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.31 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Angels | 11c | 2,155$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.74 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.84 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Angels | 36c | 1,259$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.36 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Angels | 37c | 1,075$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.69 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Padres | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Angels | 4c | 958.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Angels | 8c | 895.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Angels | 4c | 837.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Angels | 36c | 808$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.88 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Angels | 14c | 721.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Angels | 16c | 536.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Angels | 3c | 455.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…42cbbacked Angels | 37c | 400$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Angels | 37c | 381.08$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Angels | 37c | 335$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.95 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 65c | 309.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Angels | 4c | 292.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Angels | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…c2bfbacked Padres | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebf…a807backed Padres | 64c | 260.26$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…ef3dbacked Angels | 36c | 259.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Angels | 35c | 244.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Padres | 62c | 242.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Angels | 35c | 215.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…b172backed Angels | 11c | 181.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 64c | 168.75$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Angels | 19c | 154.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…942abacked Padres | 65c | 149.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bd…8e10backed Angels | 9c | 132.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Angels | 13c | 103$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…fcd9backed Angels | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd025…1c54backed Padres | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Padres | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Angels | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Padres | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Padres | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…667abacked Padres | 64c | 73.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked Angels | 37c | 72.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Padres | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Padres | 65c | 59.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Padres | 65c | 56.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Angels | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…fbe4backed Padres | 65c | 48.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Angels | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Padres | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Angels | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x47aa…09e9backed Padres | 64c | 31.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Padres | 64c | 31.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Padres | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Padres | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Padres | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6697backed Padres | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…79e2backed Padres | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Padres | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ad…e512backed Padres | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.