NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x006268a08dd1069a05635d8be8b4b73fcefc84f43c95dd236a3f3d7c92c57bd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Suns, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 667 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 21,418$15,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,996.95 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 28c | 13,100$3,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5851…7fb6backed Suns | 20c | 10,117$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Suns | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Suns | 29c | 9,631$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792.88 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 8,340$6,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.99 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Suns | 1c | 6,085$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Timberwolves | 73c | 5,810$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.61 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Suns | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.96 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Timberwolves | 72c | 4,072$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.96 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Suns | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Suns | 17c | 3,966$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.51 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Suns | 23c | 3,519$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.05 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Suns | 10c | 3,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Suns | 28c | 3,142$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.73 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Suns | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.91 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 70c | 2,000$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.48 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Suns | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Suns | 28c | 1,667$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.66 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Timberwolves | 74c | 1,600$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Suns | 1c | 1,550$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Suns | 27c | 1,482$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.14 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Suns | 27c | 1,418$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.84 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Timberwolves | 72c | 1,400$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.53 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Suns | 29c | 1,392$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Timberwolves | 74c | 1,179$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.77 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Suns | 5c | 1,104$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Suns | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Suns | 29c | 1,026$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Suns | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Suns | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Suns | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Suns | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Suns | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves | 70c | 999.97$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86aa…1c92backed Timberwolves | 52c | 930$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…79f9backed Suns | 48c | 930$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Timberwolves | 71c | 889.24$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.15 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Suns | 29c | 869.42$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Suns | 24c | 837.24$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.12 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e2…40b9backed Suns | 30c | 813.77$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4b…24d0backed Timberwolves | 73c | 738.28$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Suns | 27c | 731.59$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.87 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6369…feb1backed Suns | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Suns | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Timberwolves | 74c | 586.46$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.61 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Suns | 8c | 560$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Suns | 27c | 551.55$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.97 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Timberwolves | 73c | 548.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.02 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Suns | 16c | 539.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Timberwolves | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Suns | 11c | 457.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…80dabacked Suns | 30c | 447.53$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee5…208cbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 432.39$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Timberwolves | 72c | 418.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Timberwolves | 70c | 400$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…86b6backed Timberwolves | 73c | 388.89$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Suns | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Suns | 29c | 345$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…77d9backed Suns | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7679…8c3abacked Suns | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…672ebacked Suns | 29c | 307.41$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…58fcbacked Suns | 29c | 300.45$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…7a95backed Suns | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Suns | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Timberwolves | 72c | 299.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdf…8573backed Timberwolves | 70c | 286$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…5919backed Timberwolves | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…0be4backed Timberwolves | 71c | 267.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…6ed6backed Suns | 29c | 256.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…5e6ebacked Suns | 19c | 250$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Suns | 25c | 233.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…2751backed Suns | 29c | 218.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…a22fbacked Suns | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f81…1451backed Timberwolves | 71c | 208.35$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…c995backed Suns | 30c | 207.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…09e8backed Suns | 29c | 207.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfed…9510backed Timberwolves | 72c | 200.89$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Timberwolves | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5658…3250backed Suns | 26c | 188.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…6c2ebacked Suns | 29c | 180.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Suns | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Suns | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…b659backed Timberwolves | 73c | 170.37$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd327…c74bbacked Suns | 28c | 165.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa929…1baabacked Timberwolves | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c28…3bcabacked Timberwolves | 73c | 160$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…b24cbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 160$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…affbbacked Suns | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…fb2cbacked Suns | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d8…ddfcbacked Suns | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac41…21b2backed Suns | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x950b…6d88backed Timberwolves | 73c | 160$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…3ab5backed Timberwolves | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…61febacked Timberwolves | 76c | 160$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…f843backed Suns | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8119…59debacked Timberwolves | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc234…74b2backed Timberwolves | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…1176backed Suns | 21c | 160$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…fb96backed Timberwolves | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.