TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Spurs, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$294,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$303,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,993 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5314…910cbacked Spurs21c17,614$3,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,708.3433931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Cavaliers78c14,299$11,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,182.631,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs12c14,050$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs21c13,401$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,817.341,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb1e…e67bbacked Spurs12c10,083$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fae…7d62backed Spurs12c10,048$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.7330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Spurs12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Cavaliers68c9,063$6,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,898.2148046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Spurs11c7,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.9846928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Spurs10c6,254$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.8277745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Cavaliers77c5,233$4,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.3930061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Spurs13c5,002$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.161,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dda…4cf6backed Cavaliers78c4,998$3,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.723666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs23c4,591$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.153,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Spurs10c2,350$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3861835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Spurs24c2,204$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.3788053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Spurs11c2,064$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0137734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Spurs15c2,007$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Spurs10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Spurs11c1,779$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Spurs11c1,688$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4445743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Spurs31c1,613$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.1322049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Spurs21c1,603$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34026934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7784…5b6dbacked Spurs15c1,343$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Spurs5c1,322$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.888783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Spurs12c1,260$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.815613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Spurs30c1,179$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4129738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Spurs24c1,178$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.870640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6929…0e4bbacked Cavaliers77c1,155$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.086253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2447…b512backed Spurs32c1,077$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-72.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Spurs17c1,032$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.728347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Spurs12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda87…4e9bbacked Spurs12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202015%3 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Spurs12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb34d…ef8bbacked Spurs11c999.94$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.991752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Cavaliers74c987.74$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.812245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs17c982.31$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.495,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Spurs19c981.18$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8139843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Spurs10c974.59$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5196447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Spurs12c923.11$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Spurs11c865.76$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d2…cfb1backed Spurs34c839.48$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2852254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27d1…43a0backed Spurs12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Spurs12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x764f…3dbfbacked Spurs11c827.27$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9112151.2%62 W · 59 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Spurs11c818$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9816617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Spurs10c810$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.35530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf901…51d3backed Spurs12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Spurs3c799.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Spurs16c720.83$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1571747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bcb…725abacked Spurs3c700$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f32…3e2cbacked Spurs13c700$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9114041.4%58 W · 82 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Spurs33c694.12$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2526640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed Spurs12c616.82$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.023135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ab2…51d0backed Spurs12c578.08$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.371942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68f7…5e86backed Spurs14c556.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.91333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…b659backed Spurs12c555.33$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.641936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Spurs20c507.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9947542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Spurs12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6031125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Cavaliers72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1404953.1%26 W · 23 L-8.4wins-0.17per pick70cpaid-25.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1f2c…a0a4backed Spurs14c469.09$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656043.3%26 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Spurs15c466.62$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6947229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Spurs9c441$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6926040%104 W · 156 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Spurs12c418.68$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7211755.6%65 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3caa…4a0bbacked Cavaliers79c408.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.692161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Spurs17c381.75$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.81,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…39a4backed Spurs12c380$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.62937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2379…9ac8backed Spurs16c378.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.943327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Spurs16c375$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011229.5%33 W · 79 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd95e…6096backed Spurs13c353.85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4614845.9%68 W · 80 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Spurs13c330.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439442.6%40 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Cavaliers79c319.08$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1929450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Spurs11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3340726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3985542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Spurs10c290$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.913548.1%65 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99ac…5e6ebacked Spurs18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45722.8%2 W · 70 L-12.1wins-0.17per pick20cpaid-85.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0219…49efbacked Cavaliers70c247.42$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb06…72b6backed Spurs12c233.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283318.2%6 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-53.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x683d…ed3fbacked Spurs13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012144.6%54 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a6e…c082backed Spurs13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012350.4%62 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Spurs11c221$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3136514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dbe…1ecdbacked Spurs12c208.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.024854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Spurs12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523555.3%130 W · 105 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5e7…c0dbbacked Spurs30c203.13$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-67.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8e…5f70backed Spurs9c201.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.842828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Spurs12c200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2331631.6%100 W · 216 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Spurs14c193.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7616919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4698…6c24backed Cavaliers67c190$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.73756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b91…6f8ebacked Spurs11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011043.6%48 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Cavaliers60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.674158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4722…74b4backed Spurs13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016550.3%83 W · 82 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Spurs11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1571823.3%167 W · 551 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Spurs11c136$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.962,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Spurs10c132$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.273445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d24…c2bfbacked Spurs13c130.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1714749.7%73 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x526d…73f1backed Spurs13c123.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1613844.9%62 W · 76 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a4…df18backed Spurs15c120$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+212.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2271…de58backed Spurs11c111.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.281070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.