MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5968f96c47bb0c7a5bf886f51656a3a1bce09515f5bf3119d2915ac5b6237305
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Orioles | 36c | 38,357$13,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,550.55 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Mariners | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 56c | 14,461$8,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,030.66 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Orioles | 49c | 12,650$6,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,451.34 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners | 64c | 11,408$7,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,293.93 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…a6febacked Mariners | 55c | 9,999$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…f348backed Orioles | 45c | 9,998$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,498.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Orioles | 48c | 9,500$4,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950.5 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Mariners | 77c | 8,807$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 45c | 8,733$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Orioles | 28c | 5,975$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,331.24 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Mariners | 64c | 5,757$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,684.5 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 52c | 5,218$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.57 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 67c | 4,650$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.5 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mariners | 50c | 4,336$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.15 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 50c | 3,361$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.64 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Orioles | 50c | 2,971$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.88 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Orioles | 28c | 2,620$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.1 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 48c | 2,391$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.57 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Orioles | 51c | 2,010$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.8 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Orioles | 47c | 2,000$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.62 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Orioles | 48c | 2,000$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.32 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Orioles | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.86 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Mariners | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.52 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Orioles | 30c | 1,937$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.25 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 51c | 1,788$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.88 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Orioles | 57c | 1,680$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.55 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Mariners | 51c | 1,642$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.59 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.76 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Orioles | 20c | 1,479$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.93 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Mariners | 49c | 1,379$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.17 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Mariners | 16c | 1,247$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 58c | 1,221$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.07 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 47c | 1,175$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.55 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Mariners | 42c | 1,100$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 49c | 999.58$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.79 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Orioles | 43c | 999.57$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.39 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…90c1backed Mariners | 74c | 997.93$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.47 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Orioles | 51c | 969$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.81 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 60c | 962.76$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.25 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners | 52c | 865$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.8 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mariners | 45c | 828.36$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.12 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Orioles | 51c | 764.71$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.71 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mariners | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Mariners | 17c | 741.18$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Mariners | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…8742backed Mariners | 69c | 578.46$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Orioles | 60c | 553.26$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.04 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Orioles | 42c | 541$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.79 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Orioles | 45c | 531.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.83 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 51c | 516$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.22 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752c…49f4backed Mariners | 16c | 501.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Mariners | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Mariners | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Mariners | 56c | 447.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f4…fd6fbacked Orioles | 50c | 413.8$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…87d4backed Orioles | 50c | 410.68$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners | 74c | 405$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Orioles | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Mariners | 36c | 391.84$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…7568backed Orioles | 50c | 384.92$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…8ff2backed Mariners | 51c | 381.94$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869e…2f30backed Mariners | 51c | 381.92$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Mariners | 12c | 368.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f7…6d77backed Orioles | 50c | 358.3$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…8d16backed Mariners | 51c | 350.96$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mariners | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…2c99backed Mariners | 51c | 339.41$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…b329backed Orioles | 50c | 337.18$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9b…2103backed Mariners | 51c | 309.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…690ebacked Orioles | 50c | 303.24$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…8a6bbacked Mariners | 51c | 303.2$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mariners | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Mariners | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Mariners | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Orioles | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Orioles | 50c | 294.23$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Mariners | 51c | 292.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Orioles | 38c | 284.16$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.31 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Orioles | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 46c | 270$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 49c | 246.75$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…2338backed Mariners | 53c | 234.87$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…3187backed Orioles | 50c | 231.34$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.67 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Orioles | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mariners | 46c | 198.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 51c | 196.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mariners | 65c | 180$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Mariners | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…1cadbacked Mariners | 51c | 177.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Mariners | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Mariners | 54c | 149.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 50c | 144.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…ebcebacked Mariners | 51c | 135.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.