TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flames vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flamesof Flames, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…128ebacked Avalanche73c12,980$9,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,438.442458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Flames29c9,247$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,563.4230549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Avalanche71c8,452$6,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000.842441.7%10 W · 14 L-5.9wins-0.25per pick66cpaid-42.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Flames27c8,237$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,013.3592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Flames79c6,803$5,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.4344848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Flames23c5,191$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,012.211,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Avalanche71c3,148$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.9849351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Flames29c3,145$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.8837738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Flames28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.994450%22 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Avalanche72c2,782$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Avalanche68c2,658$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.4227958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Flames29c2,127$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.3864242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Avalanche71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4201353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Flames28c2,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,43013845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2745…17b3backed Flames29c1,996$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.151662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+50.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche71c1,949$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.9897651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche74c1,724$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.53,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Flames59c1,701$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.264751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f7…d311backed Flames29c1,699$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+81.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Flames28c1,263$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.3610627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Avalanche63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6308451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Flames29c999.92$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.9422842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Avalanche71c837.98$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.9775155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Flames28c812.98$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.3536242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flames27c779.21$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.631,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche71c645.59$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.31,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Avalanche69c597.53$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.35933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ac…6b02backed Flames29c578.07$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.431030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche71c554.64$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.4484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Avalanche20c491.76$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3510127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche70c473.96$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.0366951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Avalanche72c466$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.529064.4%58 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Avalanche72c451.39$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3258870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Avalanche63c396.94$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Flames28c353.69$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8920649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Avalanche61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Avalanche63c319.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche70c299.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21050857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Avalanche63c275.38$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4541757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6072…fb46backed Avalanche71c225.65$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.365954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Flames69c225$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.634330.2%13 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Avalanche71c222$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.627240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bca…be9fbacked Flames29c185.48$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.69757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba8…78e6backed Flames29c171.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.432352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Flames28c170.05$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4429748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Avalanche19c161.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.661895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83db…ad55backed Flames29c150$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+188.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Avalanche70c142.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6f…ea97backed Avalanche72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa068…9574backed Flames29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.936946.4%32 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Flames29c137.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.88932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Avalanche72c125.58$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4211354%61 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1396…919dbacked Avalanche72c125$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Avalanche61c115.87$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7130155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50ff…edc5backed Avalanche71c114.08$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche68c109.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0973157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbe…e758backed Flames30c107.87$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.511172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+97.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Flames31c106.45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4529319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Flames31c105$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…725abacked Avalanche55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555332.1%17 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…e44abacked Avalanche72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf9f…2a46backed Flames29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718854.5%48 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdba2…cb54backed Flames29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Flames42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Avalanche72c99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2820861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Avalanche71c98.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Flames17c94$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6434032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa47d…c6acbacked Flames29c93.24$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.22050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flames20c89.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1491334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Flames28c80$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5828440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Avalanche53c75.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.238744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef93…79f2backed Avalanche72c74.83$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.881957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…51d5backed Avalanche72c74.71$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.79955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Avalanche72c74.11$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.369957.6%57 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc0…d9f4backed Flames34c73.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.682759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad93…c030backed Flames29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.977251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe4d…084dbacked Avalanche72c68.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.55366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fab…875bbacked Flames29c67.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.17100%7 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+93.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Flames29c64.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.459352.7%49 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe891…75dabacked Avalanche72c63.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.021442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc895…ff63backed Avalanche72c63.86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.981250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b03…b2f0backed Flames29c62.93$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd025…1c54backed Avalanche72c62.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ecc…80a4backed Flames29c62.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.071643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6c…a5bfbacked Avalanche72c61.54$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.312458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72f6…c312backed Avalanche66c61.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409555.8%53 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1361…501ebacked Avalanche71c60.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37cd…9547backed Flames30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b3a…d650backed Avalanche72c57.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Avalanche72c57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0439757.2%227 W · 170 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Avalanche71c56.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017363%109 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…c187backed Avalanche70c54.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Avalanche71c54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3423462%145 W · 89 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55bb…452dbacked Avalanche72c52.49$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.792157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b96…27cbbacked Flames29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.72837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b8…e72dbacked Avalanche71c50.7$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-77%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Flames42c50.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.172448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Flames29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.515730.6%48 W · 109 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.