TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72f6…c312

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: F1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 55 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT9555.8%53 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$11.33
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
NHL Playoffs: Capitals vs. Hurricanes (To Advance)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
NHL Playoffs: Winnipeg Jets vs. St. Louis Blues (To Advance)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$13.29
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+77.9%+$10.1
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+40.1%+$7.99
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+61%+$13.76
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$10.5
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.2
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$10.47
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+55.6%+$5.72
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+65.3%+$13.06
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+50.9%+$10.68
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+144.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin above $0.24 on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.