NHL · resolved market
NHL Playoffs: Winnipeg Jets vs. St. Louis Blues (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x682cea70a85aee63676e7bd13bcab9f9ab1e606eea7299d0be8273d478b0e9a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Jets, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa355…b1fabacked Jets | 68c | 55,715$37,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,828.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…7678backed Blues | 32c | 55,715$17,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,828.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Blues | 40c | 29,229$11,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,767.84 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Jets | 78c | 25,368$19,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,601.19 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Jets | 68c | 17,155$11,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.91 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Jets | 61c | 10,098$6,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.5 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jets | 59c | 6,948$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.1 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Blues | 23c | 6,438$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.71 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Blues | 21c | 6,053$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.77 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blues | 37c | 4,818$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.62 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Jets | 69c | 4,476$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.16 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Blues | 32c | 4,318$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.35 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Blues | 26c | 3,480$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.3 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blues | 19c | 3,319$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.69 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…1e18backed Blues | 37c | 2,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Blues | 32c | 2,619$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.31 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jets | 77c | 2,002$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.16 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Blues | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Jets | 63c | 1,675$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.63 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Jets | 78c | 1,627$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Jets | 80c | 1,476$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.2 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Jets | 59c | 1,407$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.7 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Blues | 32c | 1,300$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jets | 56c | 1,270$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.8 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Blues | 38c | 1,253$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.46 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Blues | 4c | 1,232$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Blues | 44c | 1,142$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.64 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Jets | 79c | 1,111$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.31 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Blues | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…74dabacked Blues | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Blues | 29c | 848.75$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.46 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Blues | 32c | 521.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.03 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Blues | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Blues | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Jets | 59c | 452.68$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3c…2382backed Blues | 31c | 450$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Jets | 80c | 444.18$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jets | 73c | 380$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.64 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe199…56a2backed Jets | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…4e6fbacked Jets | 75c | 272.91$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1f…ad13backed Blues | 16c | 241.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Blues | 33c | 210$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Blues | 24c | 194.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Jets | 78c | 180$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Blues | 37c | 180$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Jets | 68c | 159.25$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Blues | 36c | 156.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Blues | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Blues | 31c | 148.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…0705backed Blues | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Jets | 66c | 129$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Jets | 68c | 122$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Jets | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Jets | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…25b7backed Jets | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeba5…040bbacked Blues | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec0…f663backed Blues | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Blues | 34c | 87.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Jets | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…235fbacked Blues | 42c | 71.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Jets | 78c | 71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f6…c312backed Jets | 77c | 58.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Blues | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Blues | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…a09ebacked Jets | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e96…f109backed Jets | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…bc2dbacked Jets | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Blues | 34c | 37.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Jets | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…4a98backed Jets | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…3fb2backed Jets | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…d9bcbacked Jets | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Jets | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939b…0940backed Jets | 75c | 18.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0de3…28eebacked Jets | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.