Ukraine · resolved market
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x324d699420ad881471d0fd29acc86e664e397bd6461b3fa440dcd3efc514ac79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,658,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,550,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,658,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 9c | 137,789$12,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,056.81 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 99,965$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +172.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa955…7e84backed Yes | 1c | 83,529$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 1c | 69,779$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.51 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed Yes | 6c | 65,818$3,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,818.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…d0b7backed Yes | 9c | 59,130$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,372.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccc…a831backed Yes | 11c | 56,084$5,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,985.16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…9bc0backed Yes | 9c | 54,928$4,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,698.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 0c | 45,161$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 11c | 44,170$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950.41 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 6c | 39,972$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.71 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Yes | 11c | 39,595$4,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,503.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 8c | 36,838$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.04 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4a…a264backed Yes | 3c | 34,651$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 1c | 34,105$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0c…654cbacked Yes | 1c | 26,428$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…69b7backed Yes | 1c | 25,897$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.03 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…2beebacked Yes | 2c | 25,345$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.62 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…d6cdbacked Yes | 2c | 18,586$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…d6c9backed Yes | 3c | 18,380$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.73 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…7a59backed Yes | 1c | 17,230$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd1…f366backed Yes | 4c | 16,467$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 16,335$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…b303backed Yes | 1c | 14,481$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed Yes | 9c | 13,903$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.17 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Yes | 4c | 13,133$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.54 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…f545backed Yes | 1c | 11,754$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd39e…567fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,544$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Yes | 12c | 11,048$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 10,758$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.12 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x049d…0f3fbacked Yes | 11c | 10,058$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…5e32backed Yes | 10c | 9,658$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…40e0backed Yes | 14c | 8,230$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 10c | 7,750$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8967…1e9bbacked Yes | 11c | 7,400$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…ad8fbacked Yes | 5c | 7,385$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…3f6fbacked Yes | 2c | 6,714$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f3…f66ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,705$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1545…e2b2backed Yes | 13c | 6,350$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a6…5a18backed Yes | 5c | 6,014$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 12c | 6,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e85…80c1backed Yes | 3c | 5,994$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…e9b6backed Yes | 2c | 5,913$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed Yes | 6c | 5,647$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x928f…5371backed Yes | 4c | 5,522$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,400$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd554…b9f8backed Yes | 0c | 4,901$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b5…93b8backed Yes | 7c | 4,660$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…6a53backed Yes | 14c | 4,645$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.87 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff21…4643backed Yes | 0c | 4,578$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes | 3c | 4,553$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…531dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,294$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.66 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 4c | 4,123$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.99 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 0c | 4,118$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…6317backed Yes | 6c | 4,066$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…94c3backed Yes | 3c | 3,683$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 11c | 3,660$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.97 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35b…dc3fbacked Yes | 13c | 3,637$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,587$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,580$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,527$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…a095backed Yes | 10c | 3,460$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 5c | 3,400$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 2c | 3,319$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…63a3backed Yes | 5c | 3,300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed Yes | 3c | 3,206$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…96dcbacked Yes | 2c | 3,155$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 2c | 3,039$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…650ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,996$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be1…a3c4backed Yes | 3c | 2,934$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 11c | 2,900$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6c…890ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,867$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd91…f0a0backed Yes | 1c | 2,775$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,719$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -95.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 0c | 2,700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 0c | 2,437$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9616…4723backed Yes | 5c | 2,406$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…94c7backed Yes | 11c | 2,359$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4860…a6b7backed Yes | 7c | 2,281$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 1c | 2,266$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9d…24b3backed Yes | 1c | 2,117$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…8979backed Yes | 1c | 2,097$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,872$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf036…9c9fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,783$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8522…e26fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,782$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…702cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,744$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 4c | 1,677$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…ce3cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,601$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed Yes | 3c | 1,512$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…5530backed Yes | 7c | 1,445$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…d379backed Yes | 1c | 1,432$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…0e20backed Yes | 1c | 1,407$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9d…4bbabacked Yes | 2c | 1,403$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe2…da81backed Yes | 7c | 1,300$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f8…badfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 1,190$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.