NHL · resolved market
NHL Playoffs: Capitals vs. Hurricanes (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4807c357c1d92db0e9474e9aef342155beb564ecf70dcafd58dadcc21170012d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Capitals, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a34…ff77backed Hurricanes | 61c | 40,341$24,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,732.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4046…2febbacked Capitals | 39c | 40,341$15,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,732.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Hurricanes | 68c | 39,455$26,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,617.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Hurricanes | 71c | 20,518$14,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,855.55 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Capitals | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Capitals | 39c | 9,396$3,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.08 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 30c | 8,988$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.47 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Capitals | 37c | 7,500$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.99 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 7,434$4,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.42 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Capitals | 14c | 6,611$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.54 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Capitals | 35c | 6,373$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.66 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Hurricanes | 60c | 6,087$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.78 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Capitals | 29c | 5,695$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.8 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Capitals | 30c | 4,931$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.3 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Capitals | 36c | 3,965$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.78 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…9472backed Capitals | 6c | 3,313$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Capitals | 21c | 3,100$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Capitals | 37c | 2,222$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.14 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Capitals | 37c | 2,023$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.76 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Capitals | 16c | 1,930$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.79 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes | 61c | 1,458$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Capitals | 35c | 1,318$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.09 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Capitals | 21c | 1,182$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.41 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Capitals | 15c | 1,111$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Capitals | 30c | 1,090$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Capitals | 37c | 1,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Capitals | 35c | 781$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.4 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Capitals | 38c | 780.47$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.58 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf924…3900backed Capitals | 40c | 561.95$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Hurricanes | 62c | 531.76$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.02 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Capitals | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Capitals | 25c | 374$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Hurricanes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…1d71backed Capitals | 33c | 299.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Capitals | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Capitals | 33c | 248.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 16c | 218.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a02…b099backed Capitals | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Capitals | 7c | 210.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Hurricanes | 72c | 205.82$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Capitals | 11c | 199$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hurricanes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hurricanes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…581abacked Hurricanes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Capitals | 18c | 139$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc664…409dbacked Capitals | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Hurricanes | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Hurricanes | 62c | 113$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Capitals | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…52afbacked Capitals | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Capitals | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…7c3fbacked Capitals | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a50…7f3abacked Capitals | 60c | 88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb0…a73ebacked Capitals | 38c | 68.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hurricanes | 68c | 63.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…6527backed Capitals | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Capitals | 23c | 55.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Capitals | 37c | 54.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…d1f1backed Capitals | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…852cbacked Hurricanes | 63c | 48.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a17…beb5backed Hurricanes | 63c | 43.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25f…94a8backed Capitals | 38c | 29.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f6…c312backed Capitals | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1c…380bbacked Hurricanes | 63c | 23.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…b6f2backed Hurricanes | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.