NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a6948de5b7cec2fcd0f4e8ebfead742f882640e9f74502542da0a588ac11a33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Senators, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 779 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Senators | 40c | 24,736$9,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,894.54 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 37c | 17,941$6,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,711.79 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 16,895$10,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,352.24 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 14,195$8,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,439.29 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 11,458$6,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.87 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…e155backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c6…5040backed Senators | 36c | 9,993$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Senators | 41c | 8,926$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.52 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 39c | 7,641$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.61 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Senators | 36c | 4,555$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.44 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Senators | 37c | 3,988$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.07 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 3,946$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.81 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Senators | 38c | 3,900$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 3,770$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.83 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 3,608$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.94 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Senators | 40c | 3,262$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.84 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Senators | 10c | 2,978$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.76 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…c5f9backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,837$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a9…39febacked Senators | 38c | 2,678$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,504$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.56 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 2,500$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 2,495$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.43 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Senators | 37c | 2,434$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.52 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Senators | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 2,000$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.79 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Senators | 39c | 1,996$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.04 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Senators | 38c | 1,805$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.9 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…a314backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,777$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…105bbacked Senators | 38c | 1,775$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,678$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.72 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b2…f8d4backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,626$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed Senators | 36c | 1,623$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,500$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,465$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 1,390$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.3 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Senators | 17c | 1,351$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.53 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 76c | 1,249$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.38 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,206$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.27 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,179$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.87 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Senators | 1c | 1,117$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,050$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,020$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Senators | 39c | 1,007$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.63 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Senators | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 997.02$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.87 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 949.92$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Senators | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Senators | 38c | 774.78$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.82 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Senators | 27c | 747.37$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.79 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Senators | 39c | 730.86$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.67 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 699.95$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.98 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Senators | 39c | 670.52$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.5 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Senators | 36c | 660.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.96 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 650$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 618.24$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.04 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 609.13$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.63 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Senators | 40c | 603.33$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.23 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 602.86$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.69 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Senators | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…181bbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Senators | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 520.01$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 520$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 499.95$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Senators | 25c | 495$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…60b1backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 422.88$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 402.24$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.59 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…98b0backed Senators | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 399.66$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.66 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 396.03$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.41 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 349.95$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.98 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 333$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…35dcbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 321.38$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf966…d47ebacked Senators | 13c | 319.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 314.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Senators | 17c | 305$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 300$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Senators | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Senators | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked Senators | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Senators | 45c | 277.76$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 277.48$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Senators | 36c | 270$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…51e1backed Senators | 37c | 260$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Senators | 35c | 258.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Senators | 40c | 238.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…222bbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 228.13$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Senators | 36c | 200.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…8483backed Senators | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.