NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf293e2d1022222d4d2a94c7bec2fbd5f7568fde9009464db753acd7db1feee8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Avalanche, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 798 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Avalanche | 68c | 21,991$14,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,896.54 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…bb5ebacked Avalanche | 58c | 14,260$8,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,270.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…997bbacked Stars | 42c | 14,260$5,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,270.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Avalanche | 53c | 12,757$6,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,774.5 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Stars | 54c | 9,154$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Stars | 43c | 8,456$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,827.63 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Avalanche | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.98 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…157fbacked Avalanche | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Stars | 42c | 7,187$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,168.49 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…36b0backed Avalanche | 57c | 7,130$4,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,064.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e8…b663backed Stars | 43c | 7,130$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,064.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0261…94f1backed Stars | 42c | 6,600$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,828 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Stars | 22c | 5,661$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,387.5 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Stars | 42c | 4,495$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.1 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Stars | 48c | 4,199$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.42 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Avalanche | 56c | 3,888$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.42 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Avalanche | 52c | 3,561$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.19 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Stars | 49c | 3,276$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.46 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Avalanche | 49c | 3,176$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.88 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Stars | 36c | 3,042$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.67 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 43c | 2,570$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.18 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Avalanche | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Stars | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.97 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Stars | 43c | 2,470$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche | 62c | 2,310$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.15 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Stars | 48c | 2,300$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…4fddbacked Avalanche | 58c | 2,259$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Avalanche | 59c | 2,076$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.49 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Stars | 44c | 2,061$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.25 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Stars | 43c | 1,902$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.29 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…4e9fbacked Stars | 42c | 1,805$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.74 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Avalanche | 56c | 1,788$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars | 29c | 1,600$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.55 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd124…e0babacked Stars | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…1ea7backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Stars | 40c | 1,527$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.85 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Stars | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.83 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Stars | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.15 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Avalanche | 58c | 1,310$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.79 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Avalanche | 44c | 1,255$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.39 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Avalanche | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.99 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.97 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Stars | 41c | 1,193$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.02 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Avalanche | 51c | 1,140$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.45 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Avalanche | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.11 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,061$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.63 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stars | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 43c | 987.21$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.71 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Avalanche | 59c | 932.2$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…1db7backed Stars | 43c | 927.41$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…ab89backed Avalanche | 57c | 922.05$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6c…623dbacked Stars | 42c | 900$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…6c51backed Avalanche | 58c | 900$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Stars | 42c | 899.47$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.57 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Avalanche | 73c | 894.1$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.07 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Stars | 43c | 862.68$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.55 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b0…da9abacked Stars | 28c | 801.23$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Stars | 43c | 799.88$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.93 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Avalanche | 55c | 733.11$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.21 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Avalanche | 59c | 728.81$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Stars | 56c | 715.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.71 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Stars | 47c | 708.14$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Stars | 53c | 675.72$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.19 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Avalanche | 54c | 656.22$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.05 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Stars | 42c | 644$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.52 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Avalanche | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…d939backed Stars | 42c | 635$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…bb77backed Avalanche | 58c | 635$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stars | 49c | 616.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.28 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…e0a1backed Stars | 52c | 600$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Avalanche | 55c | 594.77$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.15 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 38c | 569.24$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.96 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Stars | 38c | 520.1$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.1 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…a3f8backed Avalanche | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…a86abacked Avalanche | 57c | 455.19$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Stars | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Avalanche | 75c | 437.17$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.2 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…107abacked Avalanche | 57c | 419.05$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche | 56c | 412.55$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.03 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Stars | 48c | 405.58$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Avalanche | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Avalanche | 57c | 399.99$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Stars | 43c | 363.78$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.91 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02e…88d5backed Avalanche | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Avalanche | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2517…cdd1backed Stars | 43c | 333.93$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche | 56c | 332.84$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.18 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Avalanche | 55c | 316.65$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Avalanche | 56c | 301.95$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.09 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Avalanche | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Avalanche | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…6771backed Avalanche | 55c | 281.2$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Stars | 52c | 280.71$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 42c | 277.52$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Stars | 36c | 269.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.68 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Stars | 41c | 266.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Avalanche | 18c | 262.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Stars | 48c | 260.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.63 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Avalanche | 50c | 255$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.