TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
White Soxof Rangers, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$232,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,012 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers32c63,558$20,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,094.431,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox43c40,750$17,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,371.642,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed White Sox40c30,258$12,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,016.211746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed White Sox76c12,543$9,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.366556.9%37 W · 28 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers67c5,607$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,759.611,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers79c5,318$4,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,220.899,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers60c4,641$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,787.162,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers60c4,090$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.371,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Rangers35c2,484$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.083450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked White Sox40c2,482$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.151,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe281…e7bfbacked Rangers11c1,700$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9590%0 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed White Sox68c1,488$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.0579740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed White Sox31c1,367$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.7439041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Rangers56c1,263$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.7419239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb358…e547backed White Sox39c1,150$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.55250%26 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed White Sox46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60033349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed White Sox38c989.02$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.220450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Rangers72c910.96$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.6751953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb20e…022bbacked Rangers60c839.38$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.632657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed White Sox29c727.07$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.7643250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed White Sox57c725.86$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.91,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6795930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rangers2c550$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.055053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce6…e1b0backed Rangers43c533.78$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2284146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed White Sox39c499.98$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Rangers60c492$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.243654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed White Sox63c401.5$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6597950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers70c393.79$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.34,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rangers60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20080955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers11c302.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1125416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x563f…786ebacked White Sox62c290$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.571978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+28.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4c2c…f202backed Rangers27c231.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5460%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Rangers59c207$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.138749.4%43 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1242,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Rangers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Rangers60c182$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.217155%94 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed White Sox35c171.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4319233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Rangers59c167$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5326453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a9…e358backed Rangers60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Rangers60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013254.5%72 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Rangers32c154.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca2…55e4backed Rangers15c130$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.37154.9%39 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc811…a5b9backed Rangers8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked White Sox44c122$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3219951.8%103 W · 96 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rangers56c122$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3227751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb58d…818ebacked White Sox31c120$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.724146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rangers58c119.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.185047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Rangers61c114.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7029948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48b5…10aebacked White Sox30c107.41$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.19944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed White Sox21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7910746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd025…1c54backed Rangers57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed White Sox40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6024250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea27…8a0bbacked White Sox35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Rangers60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6021853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a47…a16abacked White Sox42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584568.9%31 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Rangers43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.778139.5%32 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Rangers58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5820448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked White Sox42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2423852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed Rangers60c84.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5212549.6%62 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Rangers62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5074356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Rangers62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5094455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x969a…a490backed White Sox26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.921266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Rangers61c72.13$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rangers60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Rangers60c64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.465549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed White Sox32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.525511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e9…3166backed Rangers67c54.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.658453.6%45 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Rangers70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516947.3%80 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked White Sox36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3217732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Rangers59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers60c37.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5468656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17ab…cdcbbacked White Sox40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.512862.5%80 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Rangers54c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.442937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Rangers65c35.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9311058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc9…7e5bbacked White Sox40c32.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6218951.3%97 W · 92 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x818e…b787backed Rangers62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x414a…1f7cbacked Rangers57c31.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Rangers59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5543542.1%183 W · 252 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…e0e1backed Rangers70c28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Rangers50c25.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5130740.4%124 W · 183 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe79b…0fe0backed Rangers60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rangers54c20.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.296133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers60c18.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.32,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.