TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Suns, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$544,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$614,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 721 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xca21…b07cbacked Bucks78c57,563$45,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,488.2622458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Suns15c39,043$5,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,719.5746426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75e…96ebbacked Bucks72c34,845$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,845.17875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns18c27,375$4,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,853.053,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Suns21c18,661$3,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,922.4212938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Bucks71c17,600$12,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,15528341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Suns31c16,346$5,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,073.477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd31a…a098backed Suns4c13,500$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.372835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Suns4c12,957$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.9170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Suns5c12,178$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.0929738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Suns26c11,904$3,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,053.7329957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Suns30c10,200$3,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.991,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Suns32c10,126$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,240.2828241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac61…4680backed Suns29c10,010$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x458d…178fbacked Bucks71c10,005$7,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,901.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7423…8e0abacked Suns29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f33…f105backed Suns29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc72e…e5d1backed Bucks71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb377…cebcbacked Bucks71c9,999$7,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a0…f8aabacked Suns27c8,000$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1802437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Suns1c6,050$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.71434.9%7 W · 136 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Suns21c5,726$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.5222049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Suns16c5,134$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.4514034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns3c5,125$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.761,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Suns25c5,105$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.88129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bucks70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Suns0c5,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Suns31c4,655$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.4237734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Suns31c4,428$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.9446131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Bucks70c4,218$2,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.3461345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Suns31c3,636$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.124040%16 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Bucks69c3,623$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.1925865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Suns30c3,592$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.721,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Suns6c3,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Suns21c3,408$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.535,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Suns7c3,332$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7933638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bucks70c3,315$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.3866853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Suns14c3,313$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.7670640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Bucks70c3,014$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.1615741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9301,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Suns3c3,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.858783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Bucks71c2,800$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8129557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Bucks69c2,692$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.5447848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Suns4c2,564$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Bucks68c2,300$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.9962351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Suns20c2,263$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.211019.1%21 W · 89 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Suns1c2,214$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5637627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Suns30c2,094$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.146750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Suns29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58048046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Bucks70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks68c1,761$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.4696447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb34d…ef8bbacked Bucks76c1,652$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.531752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Suns30c1,613$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.8720238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Suns4c1,596$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6234425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Suns5c1,506$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.064052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bucks67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49536748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Suns1c1,400$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.257502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Suns14c1,325$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18016532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Bucks69c1,211$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.6717047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x446e…ec97backed Suns4c1,150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.75200%0 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Suns21c1,129$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6147229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Suns31c1,075$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3281,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Suns7c1,063$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9215613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Bucks72c1,058$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.0284957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Suns30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Bucks78c950$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb004…51b4backed Suns31c890.32$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2764531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Suns25c784.85$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Bucks74c725$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.793961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Bucks72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.448962.9%56 W · 33 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4698…6c24backed Bucks69c679.99$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2143756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…dea4backed Suns31c645.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Suns27c641.76$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2863555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Bucks68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19230251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Bucks69c583.36$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7650453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Bucks68c571.88$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18324554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0397…0657backed Bucks68c558.82$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.821566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Suns22c548.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Bucks71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14515365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fea…ed47backed Suns31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked Suns31c475.37$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Bucks69c474.93$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2345743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Bucks69c466.36$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5723554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Suns26c437.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.385347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Bucks68c437.82$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.134852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5dc…0bc1backed Bucks69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.784963.3%31 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Suns28c434.52$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6610428.8%30 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Suns16c397.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2636751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x105e…4741backed Suns22c368.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.53046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Bucks68c356.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2428063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Suns32c354.53$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4520553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa46a…596dbacked Suns6c352$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Suns29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Suns29c339.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5927735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Suns29c335$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1516129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Bucks68c318.95$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9519944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Suns7c310.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8836747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Bucks68c310.84$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.155563.6%35 W · 20 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.