TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Oilers, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,061 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Sharks33c18,214$6,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,010.4716645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked Oilers67c14,999$10,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,949.662458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Sharks33c13,975$4,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,631.8536242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers67c10,709$7,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,503.011,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Oilers67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6505164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Sharks33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9907352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Sharks32c2,011$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.6392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers66c1,978$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.3297651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Oilers67c1,942$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.8349351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Sharks29c1,774$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.7537738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc48e…2c02backed Oilers67c1,640$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f4…d0e7backed Sharks33c1,640$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oilers69c1,632$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.943,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Sharks34c1,594$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.8583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Oilers66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Oilers75c1,430$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.239863.3%62 W · 36 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Sharks18c1,407$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.54143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed1…12a8backed Oilers65c1,145$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571c…1f49backed Sharks35c1,145$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Sharks32c982.99$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.1950857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8659…9178backed Oilers67c961.68$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.626041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers67c896.05$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.1484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Sharks34c867.65$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers66c805.62$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.81,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Sharks35c788$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.88536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb2b8…b745backed Oilers65c787.99$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.82347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Sharks34c729.58$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0629748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Sharks34c726.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Sharks33c683.98$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.714725.5%12 W · 35 L-10.5wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-54.8%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Oilers74c675$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7537254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Sharks20c625.91$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.189550.5%48 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd124…e0babacked Oilers67c620$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb403…06f0backed Sharks33c620$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Oilers67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19819548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Sharks3c561.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5238744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Sharks36c538.99$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.464650%23 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1e…d204backed Oilers66c508$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.721973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Sharks33c492.68$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5531753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Sharks32c412.86$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1110627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks33c390.36$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.151044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Oilers65c350$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.520649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Oilers79c345.65$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4611057.3%63 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0d…0ed4backed Oilers68c319.11$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.71866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Oilers67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5112556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Sharks37c254.03$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8841340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Sharks34c248.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7660741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff7b…52a8backed Oilers65c214.09$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.932748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Oilers69c205$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.237644.7%34 W · 42 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Oilers75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507048.6%34 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Sharks33c156.03$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4919848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x470b…a8fbbacked Sharks35c151.55$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.611040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaf…ff05backed Sharks34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-69.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf00e…884cbacked Oilers66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d9…36e6backed Oilers65c149.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.491353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Oilers68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.067071.4%50 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Sharks34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b85…3d86backed Oilers68c145$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+60.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc953…0a2abacked Sharks32c145$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb45…087cbacked Sharks35c140.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.341060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc2…32eebacked Sharks36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502544%11 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b0…19f2backed Sharks35c137.43$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.11070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x832a…d408backed Sharks35c136.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+56.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde18…19dcbacked Sharks33c127.64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.121770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+46.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa346…738fbacked Sharks37c125$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.753638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6828…75f4backed Oilers67c122.68$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.481172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Sharks9c122.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.871,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8b…3338backed Sharks33c120.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.722231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-41.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sharks31c118.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1391334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae75…e5bdbacked Sharks34c115$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4926…24d3backed Oilers66c115$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…8ec9backed Oilers66c115$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8517…a1bebacked Sharks34c115$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa043…0fe4backed Oilers66c114$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…c589backed Sharks34c114$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b2…8b29backed Oilers66c112$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ec…7140backed Sharks34c112$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0312…5a07backed Oilers66c111$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a5…8ccabacked Sharks34c111$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb787…1cc6backed Oilers68c110.84$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.844660.9%28 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x527f…1badbacked Sharks34c109$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd75b…3302backed Oilers66c109$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Oilers66c107.95$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.723462%145 W · 89 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b1…0152backed Sharks34c107$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0764…7a62backed Oilers66c107$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x245f…17a2backed Oilers68c105.88$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked Sharks28c105.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.532025%5 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1de…5792backed Oilers66c105$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81bd…3c50backed Sharks34c105$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…11aebacked Oilers68c104.41$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d38…0e28backed Oilers66c103$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c85…d9f0backed Sharks34c103$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe584…fa16backed Oilers68c102.57$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.822142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Sharks34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3435154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2845…02dbbacked Sharks33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2820…3d76backed Oilers65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4848…c4c4backed Oilers66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38f…bd1abacked Oilers66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9395backed Sharks34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.