TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$845,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$912,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $845,906 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x245b…00c5backed Bucks62c93,069$57,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,260.1314052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3196…146fbacked Pacers47c85,053$39,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,097.091936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Bucks61c46,635$28,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,447.6228241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Bucks9c42,561$3,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,896.1212938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Pacers50c33,021$16,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,547.2428347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Pacers47c24,599$11,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,115.8323342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Pacers39c23,404$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,203.715536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Bucks19c23,205$4,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,464.735433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6790…5e06backed Pacers38c20,889$8,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,8887335.6%26 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29bf…25b0backed Pacers39c20,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,2002060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Pacers43c19,143$8,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,911.5513248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks61c18,745$11,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,407.6696447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Pacers38c18,000$6,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,159.9547848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bucks46c17,414$7,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,963.5736748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Bucks62c16,796$10,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,432.1128341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bucks4c14,100$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Bucks52c13,583$7,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,088.1270147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucks31c11,935$3,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,665.91,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Pacers76c10,919$8,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,595.710357.3%59 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Pacers64c10,528$6,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,801.2513560.7%82 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Bucks16c10,496$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.0213731.4%43 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Bucks62c10,401$6,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,434.686344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks49c10,105$4,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,921.653,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bucks61c10,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,099.991,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Pacers60c9,730$5,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,915.9448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Bucks0c8,000$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe9…8826backed Bucks25c7,697$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.14143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Bucks48c7,461$3,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,547.6437627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Pacers63c6,253$3,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,286.2623237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Bucks8c6,148$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.6726431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4727…aa86backed Bucks40c6,000$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+62.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers36c5,860$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,750.581,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Pacers39c4,975$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,034.95736.8%21 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Bucks63c4,788$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ff2…310cbacked Bucks20c4,390$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.121735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Bucks45c4,385$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.3170640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Bucks23c4,329$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.442123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers37c4,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539.71,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Pacers39c3,951$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,410.1114434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks62c3,877$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.862,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Pacers39c3,615$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.3736247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Pacers39c3,513$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.9330443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pacers56c3,106$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.836843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e38…eb70backed Bucks31c3,064$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.3205%1 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick22cpaid-85.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xce13…a213backed Bucks63c3,021$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.211435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Pacers78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66027546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed Pacers39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8303243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf137…a557backed Pacers37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8901353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Bucks62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.9922137.6%83 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6641…4a1abacked Pacers37c2,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.71752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Pacers70c2,466$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.1717256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Pacers75c2,460$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.159450%47 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Pacers55c2,400$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.9866153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Bucks1c2,363$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.148783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers55c2,318$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.4488053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd621…bc07backed Pacers74c2,200$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5669555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Bucks61c2,046$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.2419149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Bucks20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40053134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Pacers37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2606454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Pacers39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2201747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Bucks63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.996747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.971,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Bucks62c1,966$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.0673647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Bucks9c1,873$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.177929.1%23 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Bucks28c1,855$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.511019.1%21 W · 89 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Bucks36c1,841$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.523545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Bucks60c1,757$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.494050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Bucks1c1,705$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.124423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Bucks50c1,613$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80031453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Pacers59c1,589$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.898962.9%56 W · 33 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks1c1,500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Bucks63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.9929957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Pacers73c1,461$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.5227848.9%136 W · 142 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Pacers46c1,374$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.954344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Bucks25c1,354$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.4217943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Pacers39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0218345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ee…bf85backed Bucks11c1,264$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.720031%62 W · 138 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pacers38c1,250$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.9862351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd7…cd86backed Pacers39c1,200$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+100.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Bucks62c1,150$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.520050.5%101 W · 99 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Pacers77c1,138$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.6320447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Bucks2c1,136$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286918.8%13 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks62c1,133$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.0573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Pacers38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.6329643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b2a…6df2backed Bucks23c1,035$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Bucks3c1,021$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.755502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Bucks9c1,018$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9167911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x069c…96e4backed Bucks4c1,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455332.1%17 W · 36 L+7.8wins+0.15per pick17cpaid+39.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5445…58f0backed Bucks63c999.74$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.721330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Bucks54c969.99$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.8810551.4%54 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b75…c585backed Bucks8c953.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.835131.4%16 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e0…5e9abacked Bucks31c923.7$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pacers78c856.6$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.614563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Pacers67c825.46$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.468353%44 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Bucks19c824.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5712232%39 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x616b…72f7backed Bucks38c793.89$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.981145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+74.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Pacers38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4719145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e5…38aabacked Bucks14c721$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.73100%0 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Pacers42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.293666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Bucks14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.