TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham win on 2025-04-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,367
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,190

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,367 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes27c32,342$8,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,583.3779650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Yes24c20,429$4,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,902.6731944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes28c18,477$5,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,156.8179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes25c9,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2503718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes34c7,364$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5009235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes30c7,013$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.911454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes33c6,952$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes25c4,687$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.7517153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes33c4,244$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4006137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20068026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked No70c3,486$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.693333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes32c3,270$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.6841437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yes30c2,458$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.4113857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No67c1,617$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes28c1,560$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4441,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes6c1,176$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1138645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Yes12c985.08$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2112623%29 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No69c827.1$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.424566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes2c799.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.254134.1%14 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes28c704.1$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.940135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes31c629.03$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1958045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No67c627.99$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.2483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked No69c381.5$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.272962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No69c363.52$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2437652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No69c276.97$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2852060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62b2…85d5backed Yes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes31c155.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1121445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.56248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No66c149.06$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes32c147.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.066445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7592…b5cbbacked No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062867.9%19 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes32c140$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.81330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4eee…b34dbacked No69c125$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9822…ec5cbacked Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9f…3b4bbacked No68c125$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011100%11 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe019…018bbacked Yes33c109.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No69c106.28$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9514953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3225339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345740.4%23 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7342…038bbacked Yes32c92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes33c90.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes34c89.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ac…f57dbacked No72c87.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.871747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Yes33c81.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No68c80.47$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7540046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6424…c23ebacked Yes32c76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes33c74.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.583545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.418260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3eb…6f4fbacked No69c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+70.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes24c65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3822834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0363…d67abacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d75…edccbacked Yes31c59.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes32c54.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.339961.6%61 W · 38 L+13.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes30c51.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.399334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1626247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes31c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.515726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb022…a3cabacked No70c48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbc…176bbacked Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes32c44.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.114643.2%63 W · 83 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08de…82dcbacked No70c44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4578…7ffdbacked No70c43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No66c43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed No69c40.19$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.469637.5%36 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…38f3backed Yes31c38.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25b6…4da6backed Yes32c37.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-78.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa405…3782backed No70c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…e7debacked No70c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No68c31.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0418752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes33c30.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.236845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff89…6b3ebacked No69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c10…e21abacked No70c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.