TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Red Wings, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,881 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings22c12,321$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,730.431,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Red Wings13c4,019$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.0918237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2379…9ac8backed Red Wings26c3,545$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.261136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Red Wings21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63013348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Red Wings26c2,691$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.9337738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Avalanche74c2,320$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.832251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Avalanche73c2,208$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.0727958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7e…cb66backed Avalanche72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+177.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95cd…216cbacked Red Wings28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3318…ea60backed Red Wings27c1,842$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.471241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Red Wings26c1,555$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.2910627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb31…cd36backed Avalanche72c1,503$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.841361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb8…74b8backed Red Wings28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d8…9462backed Red Wings28c1,268$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.041450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf825…c866backed Avalanche72c1,268$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.041758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Avalanche74c1,248$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.1149351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings1c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Red Wings27c1,184$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.4322842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Red Wings10c1,010$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10144848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Red Wings27c805.22$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.411,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings21c783.2$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.983,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Avalanche74c718.92$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9231753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Avalanche73c712$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2475155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche73c704.97$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.261,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb92d…f84bbacked Avalanche73c648.18$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5584…6e2abacked Red Wings30c644.28$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Avalanche73c616.44$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.441457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a48…9f3ebacked Avalanche73c615.07$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.071070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf98c…bf06backed Avalanche73c610.96$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.961850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x206e…14dfbacked Red Wings27c606.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e49…2d2dbacked Red Wings27c551.1$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94e3…da40backed Avalanche73c535.7$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.641250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x159f…90ccbacked Red Wings27c514.79$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9980%0 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Red Wings27c499.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.520649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Avalanche75c499.32$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.834067.5%27 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8734…2e6cbacked Avalanche74c477.9$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Avalanche74c462.16$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.163435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10037254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f24…f47bbacked Avalanche72c364.61$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Red Wings30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Red Wings27c329.61$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…94cbbacked Avalanche75c325$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Avalanche72c310$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.82733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Red Wings28c310$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.82669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+55%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings28c305$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Red Wings5c261.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.891895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Avalanche73c261$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.630549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Red Wings13c206.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8738744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Red Wings17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Avalanche74c164.86$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8620861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Red Wings22c158.65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511644%51 W · 65 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4284051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Red Wings12c148.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9665345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings27c132.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.321,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Avalanche70c106.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0923462%145 W · 89 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Red Wings26c105$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.38425%21 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Avalanche73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2735154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Avalanche61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3926059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Red Wings28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2850049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cee…04cabacked Avalanche73c90$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2833…e1edbacked Red Wings28c90$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Avalanche73c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8428440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche74c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Red Wings40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308347%39 W · 44 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e3a…21a7backed Red Wings28c73.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.561163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche71c69.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0366951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb432…e207backed Avalanche73c68.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.56850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc91…2083backed Avalanche73c63.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe00d…815dbacked Avalanche73c62.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.023265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x839e…ca9cbacked Avalanche73c61.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.641952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c9…2c0ebacked Red Wings29c61.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Red Wings31c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.417054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Red Wings28c57.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9516437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b4…913bbacked Red Wings28c57.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.13850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Avalanche74c50.94$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2430155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x728c…4e58backed Avalanche73c50.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.681163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Red Wings27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.515730.6%48 W · 109 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba40…b7b7backed Red Wings28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc4…8c38backed Avalanche74c44.59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.599567.4%64 W · 31 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d66…3c95backed Avalanche72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.673256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4429…2e4dbacked Avalanche73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.18669.8%60 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d8…9a77backed Avalanche75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Avalanche72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7297955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf3…6e88backed Avalanche72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.721566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…c187backed Avalanche72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.722665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91aa…fef2backed Avalanche72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.721154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9980…4f46backed Avalanche73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Avalanche74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7841954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Avalanche74c33.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6939757.2%227 W · 170 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe947…138bbacked Avalanche73c30.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.141050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa16f…fdcabacked Avalanche72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb63…33d8backed Avalanche75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Avalanche74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0325358.5%148 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e81…b287backed Avalanche72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe1…7d0dbacked Avalanche74c24.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.325058%29 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd880…cb50backed Avalanche74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.272853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Avalanche73c17.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.782948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Avalanche74c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.169064.4%58 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.