TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Mavericks, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$231,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks80c31,155$24,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,270.751,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Mavericks24c30,000$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,10027251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Mavericks20c12,903$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580.623648.7%115 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Knicks77c12,222$9,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.8148046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks19c11,921$2,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.291,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78b4…a5ebbacked Knicks76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ab…008cbacked Mavericks24c9,994$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Knicks79c8,068$6,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.057149.3%35 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks77c7,202$5,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.573,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2379…9ac8backed Mavericks17c5,647$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.763327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Mavericks20c5,612$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.3637734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Mavericks17c5,580$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.0861835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Mavericks0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Mavericks1c4,778$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1123237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Knicks80c4,482$3,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.0829957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked Mavericks22c4,250$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.974330.2%13 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mavericks24c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Mavericks22c4,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed Mavericks23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.997236.1%26 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Mavericks1c3,350$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Knicks78c3,036$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9288053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks17c3,000$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51546928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xea70…3c44backed Mavericks23c2,691$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6191136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks20c2,497$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.4240627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Mavericks20c2,331$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47727735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Mavericks26c2,318$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Mavericks28c2,165$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Mavericks6c2,100$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12626124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Mavericks6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Mavericks19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9929747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks75c1,800$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.771,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Mavericks1c1,800$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.637627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Knicks80c1,727$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.4476249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Mavericks1c1,637$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.685502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks15c1,603$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.511,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b03…d964backed Mavericks5c1,600$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Mavericks20c1,555$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31110428.8%30 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Mavericks21c1,500$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31128341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Knicks80c1,293$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.727840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b53…4086backed Mavericks23c1,265$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bdd…d56bbacked Knicks78c1,244$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks2c1,200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0279…6774backed Knicks78c1,150$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.79922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-71%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Mavericks18c1,112$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Mavericks21c1,111$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.0651037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e8…32b3backed Mavericks19c1,047$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1991233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Mavericks23c1,014$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.2511654.3%63 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Mavericks19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19016928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x504f…4e2dbacked Knicks80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Mavericks14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14068642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Mavericks23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e2…40b9backed Mavericks25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebed…97bebacked Mavericks20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005240.4%21 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks21c955$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42eb…2027backed Mavericks21c928.57$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed Knicks80c925.63$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.133852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb341…cbdcbacked Mavericks19c902.37$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.451241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+60.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca1…d8dbbacked Knicks79c887.34$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.34850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Mavericks23c833.91$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1908434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Knicks75c744$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks80c716.51$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Mavericks28c711.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011140.5%45 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Knicks79c687.98$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0336751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7d…5151backed Knicks78c653.85$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.851060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Mavericks20c650$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.513138.9%51 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3d…82c7backed Mavericks16c640.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked Mavericks17c637.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2511352.2%59 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf901…51d3backed Mavericks25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Mavericks20c590.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016140.4%65 W · 96 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…cc42backed Mavericks20c580.3$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.064860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3085…5ddabacked Mavericks17c580.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Mavericks7c548.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3370640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Mavericks21c533.29$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9916617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69d4…6775backed Mavericks19c526.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.099638.5%37 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Mavericks8c517.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.936514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f0…d677backed Mavericks20c500.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Knicks76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12023658.1%137 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Mavericks20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16d3…d0cbbacked Mavericks20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-45.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Mavericks11c485.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5567911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Mavericks8c478.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9547229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Mavericks20c444.36$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1333931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29da…4d30backed Mavericks19c440.34$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.66742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Mavericks16c430$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.415613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Mavericks21c400$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8595848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5553…2567backed Mavericks19c388.4$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.81338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+64.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Knicks75c366.38$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0273647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd65a…5529backed Mavericks19c363.11$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.99837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Mavericks17c348.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.865530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Mavericks20c327.3$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4622430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d3f…bf4dbacked Mavericks20c318.6$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.724546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks27c304.71$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.985542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd95e…6096backed Mavericks20c255$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5114845.9%68 W · 80 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b70…788bbacked Mavericks19c252.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4814353.8%77 W · 66 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x861e…dddebacked Mavericks20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014539.3%57 W · 88 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe74c…d5a3backed Knicks80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99ac…5e6ebacked Mavericks19c250$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5722.8%2 W · 70 L-12.1wins-0.17per pick20cpaid-85.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd2c0…3a4cbacked Mavericks26c239$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.