TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$369,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$418,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Kings34c51,282$17,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,492.9647848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2379…9ac8backed Kings30c20,141$6,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,092.493327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Celtics66c18,909$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,508.9610926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings36c17,343$6,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,219.5149849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd46a…5adbbacked Celtics67c14,627$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,826.871457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Celtics66c11,416$7,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,846.5525865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Celtics62c11,122$6,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,272.9223237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings11c11,104$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.71,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Celtics66c10,220$6,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,446.4810533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63fa…c7f8backed Celtics60c9,998$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5257…5d35backed Celtics60c9,992$5,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,996.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x782a…a924backed Kings40c9,973$3,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6777…cae3backed Kings40c9,973$3,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Kings43c8,662$3,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,724.9229957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Kings24c8,640$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.2670640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Celtics57c8,500$4,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,65529858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Kings15c7,978$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.9734425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Celtics75c7,249$5,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.451,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings12c7,226$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.441,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…648abacked Celtics65c6,890$4,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,391.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Celtics77c6,576$5,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.2614057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Celtics65c6,154$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.8510541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Kings36c5,920$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.6745743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed Kings28c5,583$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.283852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Kings35c5,121$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.3720238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Kings0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings0c4,983$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.071,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Celtics62c4,868$2,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.4829747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kings35c4,322$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.4461345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings43c4,000$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.875,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Celtics62c3,695$2,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.1872241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Kings38c3,661$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.2537734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Kings1c3,482$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.17502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics63c3,042$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.441,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed Kings16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4807236.1%26 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Celtics66c2,912$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.1228347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Kings21c2,857$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Celtics62c2,588$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.7737448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Celtics60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Celtics64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9007447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Kings37c2,442$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.8210643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…755dbacked Celtics67c2,076$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.963476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings34c1,856$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.631,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bcb…725abacked Kings1c1,817$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Kings2c1,770$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.537627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dda…4cf6backed Kings9c1,699$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.733666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Kings22c1,620$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.422955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Kings38c1,617$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.469836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Kings36c1,601$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.7970951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Kings35c1,516$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.0918354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Kings33c1,504$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.3414034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac90…1882backed Celtics63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5551060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfc…b032backed Kings37c1,496$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.521050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics74c1,457$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.691,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings23c1,451$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.911,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Kings37c1,435$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.0413929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7946…1c01backed Kings36c1,426$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.411241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdd9…ad08backed Celtics64c1,417$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.031136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kings36c1,401$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.9873647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Kings37c1,379$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.3650245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Celtics74c1,340$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.7988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kings15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Kings10c1,250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12526124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe696…36a0backed Kings41c1,249$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.1640%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a48…9f3ebacked Celtics59c1,249$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.16650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Kings31c1,166$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.6347229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Kings26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011229.5%33 W · 79 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings11c1,153$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.667911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Celtics62c1,131$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.5329643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Kings27c1,096$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Celtics65c1,091$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38284957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bf7…7894backed Kings41c1,073$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.89475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bab…b470backed Celtics59c1,073$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Celtics66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34070153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Kings34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34023648.7%115 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings38c904.99$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.7385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings36c839.97$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.3957760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb3…e68cbacked Kings35c807.31$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.5635050.6%177 W · 173 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…e239backed Kings10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e3e…909abacked Kings38c795.06$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed Celtics65c786.38$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.237451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadb9…2067backed Kings13c765.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5612941.9%54 W · 75 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Kings34c744.76$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25219944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Celtics66c706.06$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0634447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Celtics64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22512759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Celtics67c619.15$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5936356.5%205 W · 158 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Celtics57c606.9$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.98251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Kings45c599.92$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dad…0668backed Kings35c583.29$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.153450%17 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51fd…07d4backed Celtics60c582.95$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.181361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Kings29c569$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2613138.9%51 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Kings34c565.44$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2513638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Celtics55c544.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.5327041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kings34c530.3$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4587647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Kings40c528.58$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4327840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9ee…a887backed Kings36c497.7$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.33296.9%2 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick25cpaid-83%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa191…7facbacked Celtics64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.752268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Celtics79c435$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9317769.5%123 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.