TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf10a…b2d1backed Canadiens10c22,559$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203.826940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c9…96d9backed Canadiens37c13,165$4,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,857.421428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cac…596bbacked Canadiens20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Avalanche48c4,445$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.2713348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens20c3,686$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.561,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Avalanche64c3,616$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.6831546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche68c3,155$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.313,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Canadiens50c2,981$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005334%18 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Avalanche62c2,803$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.1672847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Avalanche63c1,900$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.0411354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Canadiens45c1,717$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.485148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Canadiens36c1,647$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.4137738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Avalanche57c1,468$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.7919848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Canadiens35c1,420$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50130946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche63c1,400$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.1697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Avalanche63c1,154$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.994067.5%27 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens2c1,100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Canadiens49c1,030$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.64751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Canadiens38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Canadiens38c999.89$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.961872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche62c918.11$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.221,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Canadiens37c886.13$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.8749351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche62c800$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30666951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…2257backed Canadiens39c719.59$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+163.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canadiens17c677.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Canadiens39c508.85$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.459149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Canadiens35c490.77$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.1322842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Canadiens38c444$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.727240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf86d…ac82backed Avalanche57c403.51$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14037254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Canadiens36c308.81$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Canadiens36c262.53$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.518932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Avalanche63c252$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2479251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche61c245.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.671,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7846…f646backed Canadiens39c218.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb868…a94ebacked Canadiens48c210.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-67.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Avalanche61c179.29$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4930155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ba2…eaa7backed Avalanche68c160.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.091764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Canadiens37c134$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.587361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche60c130$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea1…6d96backed Canadiens38c124.53$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.321145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f62…0ac2backed Canadiens38c121.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.071050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Avalanche62c114.41$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7117363%109 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed Canadiens44c109.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Avalanche62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3810127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Canadiens37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3735154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3650857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Avalanche62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3810147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Canadiens12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Avalanche64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3620861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Avalanche63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3750049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Avalanche63c99.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3711354%61 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84c…279dbacked Avalanche76c95.63$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.916071.7%43 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche63c93.62$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Canadiens39c88.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7844848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Avalanche61c87.73$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2229748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed Canadiens29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3a…21a7backed Avalanche63c83.37$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.851163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b03…b2f0backed Avalanche63c81.78$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Avalanche62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.49352.7%49 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe195…ff12backed Canadiens19c79.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc895…ff63backed Avalanche63c77.1$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.531250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0717…abb0backed Avalanche63c76.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.15100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x183f…3bfebacked Canadiens38c73.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.84850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7db…e78fbacked Avalanche63c72.29$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Avalanche63c63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3160549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef89…73e2backed Avalanche64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.53271.9%23 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Avalanche57c59.11$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.425147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Avalanche62c52$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7623462%145 W · 89 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ee…a887backed Canadiens47c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3447…3495backed Avalanche64c51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.361070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1e…394abacked Canadiens38c48.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1385…5077backed Avalanche63c47.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Avalanche61c45.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7845954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Avalanche62c45.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1616447.6%78 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Canadiens40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.12528%7 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7db6…527abacked Avalanche59c42.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.294100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c5…e14bbacked Canadiens37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.812744.9%57 W · 70 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Avalanche64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0641954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad93…c030backed Canadiens53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Avalanche65c37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Avalanche55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3611365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbc3…0712backed Canadiens36c35.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85dd…8c21backed Canadiens37c35.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.01933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa857…419fbacked Avalanche64c34.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8464…a2e0backed Canadiens38c33.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9237…1894backed Avalanche65c30.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa16f…fdcabacked Canadiens36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc7…7ca7backed Canadiens39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d8…9a77backed Avalanche73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.757861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…bfd9backed Avalanche65c24.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7df9…bcfabacked Avalanche64c24.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x975b…c85fbacked Avalanche63c24.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.961040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaed9…cdc3backed Avalanche63c24.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.89837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d66…3c95backed Avalanche63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.813256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe00d…815dbacked Avalanche63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.813265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Avalanche57c21.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4111057.3%63 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.