NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24642501c7113e1650932a148d3e79aabb2e02309670603d2096d0076e9b04f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Stars | 67c | 23,690$15,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,904.03 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Penguins | 33c | 22,682$7,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,196.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Stars | 69c | 13,374$9,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,238.12 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Penguins | 28c | 11,743$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,468.24 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Penguins | 26c | 11,076$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,176.26 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Penguins | 28c | 6,873$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,948.86 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Stars | 71c | 6,600$4,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,686 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Stars | 73c | 5,633$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,111.89 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Penguins | 21c | 5,349$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,251.7 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Penguins | 27c | 5,183$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,783.54 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Stars | 72c | 4,533$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.33 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Penguins | 26c | 3,788$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.18 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Stars | 73c | 3,425$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Stars | 52c | 2,870$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.9 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 71c | 2,609$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.91 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Penguins | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Penguins | 28c | 2,027$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.99 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…15e6backed Stars | 70c | 1,503$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Penguins | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Stars | 73c | 1,372$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 61c | 1,313$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.17 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars | 72c | 1,187$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.64 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…8e1dbacked Stars | 73c | 1,144$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.46 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Penguins | 29c | 1,037$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.7 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Stars | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Penguins | 48c | 968.09$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.23 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stars | 73c | 913.01$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Penguins | 8c | 762.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.85 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 28c | 758$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.76 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Penguins | 28c | 594.97$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.38 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Stars | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Penguins | 36c | 539.33$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.19 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Stars | 72c | 532$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.04 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6310backed Stars | 66c | 514.27$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Stars | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Stars | 73c | 450.81$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.09 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 27c | 436.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.01 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…fde9backed Stars | 71c | 430.78$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Penguins | 29c | 420$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.4 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…2c84backed Stars | 73c | 402.88$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Stars | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Penguins | 29c | 380$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.8 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Penguins | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Stars | 71c | 343.29$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.11 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Stars | 72c | 333$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Penguins | 40c | 324.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.49 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Stars | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Stars | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Stars | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e7…55a3backed Penguins | 22c | 256.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Stars | 72c | 254.66$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.91 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ee…956ebacked Penguins | 31c | 249$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Stars | 70c | 224.29$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Stars | 71c | 221.08$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.97 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Penguins | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Stars | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Stars | 73c | 193.15$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Stars | 71c | 171.63$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.04 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…bbadbacked Penguins | 29c | 165.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Stars | 71c | 163.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Penguins | 27c | 160$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…d0d5backed Stars | 70c | 151.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Stars | 72c | 150.01$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.41 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Stars | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Stars | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 73c | 136.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Stars | 76c | 131.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf665…8708backed Penguins | 28c | 125$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac7d…e6d7backed Stars | 72c | 118$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb02…38c9backed Penguins | 28c | 118$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa91…f2cabacked Penguins | 33c | 111$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf6…5c2fbacked Stars | 67c | 111$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ca…193abacked Penguins | 27c | 110$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…1396backed Stars | 73c | 110$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Stars | 69c | 101.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.3wins | -0.33per pick | 54cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Penguins | 30c | 100.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Stars | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…10d6backed Stars | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Penguins | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Stars | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…a238backed Stars | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Stars | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Stars | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…0ce0backed Stars | 67c | 99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…0e7abacked Penguins | 33c | 99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Stars | 73c | 98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…b9b8backed Penguins | 27c | 96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a79…b060backed Stars | 73c | 96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd4…853dbacked Stars | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Stars | 68c | 94.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 29c | 90$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Stars | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…00b6backed Stars | 72c | 88.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae3…e9adbacked Stars | 73c | 86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc3…dd53backed Penguins | 32c | 86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…d7a0backed Stars | 70c | 85.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a9…9bffbacked Stars | 70c | 85.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8207…def0backed Stars | 73c | 83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae5a…8555backed Penguins | 27c | 83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.