NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2e19b51181d397505dd50458b18a89ca87375cb94609cdb91bc99f9b3e3f1c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Red Wings, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc191…ba36backed Capitals | 67c | 105,312$70,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,752.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001c…43f2backed Red Wings | 33c | 105,312$34,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,752.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Red Wings | 46c | 5,973$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.22 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Capitals | 39c | 5,000$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.36 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings | 35c | 3,465$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.6 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Red Wings | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Capitals | 32c | 2,948$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.63 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings | 48c | 2,804$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.89 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings | 34c | 2,685$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.5 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Capitals | 69c | 2,194$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.06 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 32c | 2,172$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.16 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Capitals | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Capitals | 66c | 1,998$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.56 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Red Wings | 31c | 1,863$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.51 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…6fd0backed Red Wings | 33c | 1,733$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.05 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…3399backed Capitals | 67c | 1,237$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…df7bbacked Red Wings | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Red Wings | 68c | 1,138$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.91 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Capitals | 67c | 1,125$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.14 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings | 50c | 1,120$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.9 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Capitals | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Red Wings | 66c | 842.31$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Capitals | 67c | 625.04$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.26 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 45c | 604.23$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.92 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Capitals | 68c | 569.76$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.32 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Red Wings | 32c | 541.41$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Capitals | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings | 43c | 515.08$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.48 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Capitals | 39c | 513.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.12 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Red Wings | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a38…438cbacked Red Wings | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…00c2backed Capitals | 68c | 495.52$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Red Wings | 32c | 474.18$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.74 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Capitals | 69c | 449$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed Capitals | 68c | 448.13$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Red Wings | 32c | 405$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Capitals | 52c | 402.49$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf65…daacbacked Capitals | 33c | 399$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.33 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…469fbacked Red Wings | 67c | 399$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6310backed Capitals | 68c | 391.01$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Capitals | 40c | 378.22$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.08 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Capitals | 54c | 370.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.44 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Red Wings | 63c | 370.06$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.14 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…de6bbacked Red Wings | 65c | 354$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…f6fdbacked Capitals | 35c | 354$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde3f…7da7backed Red Wings | 17c | 352$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…0c4bbacked Capitals | 32c | 350$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…08a7backed Red Wings | 68c | 350$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…3769backed Capitals | 33c | 340$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…2f58backed Red Wings | 67c | 340$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac4…deebbacked Red Wings | 17c | 326$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6b…bfecbacked Red Wings | 34c | 322.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…751abacked Capitals | 33c | 321$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b7…ec18backed Red Wings | 67c | 321$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb99f…67e5backed Red Wings | 17c | 320$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Capitals | 37c | 314.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0153…6efbbacked Red Wings | 17c | 311$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e15…c621backed Capitals | 32c | 306$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…a0bcbacked Red Wings | 68c | 306$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings | 33c | 305$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Capitals | 67c | 303$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Capitals | 53c | 300$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Red Wings | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee5…208cbacked Capitals | 67c | 297.01$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…70b0backed Capitals | 68c | 295$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…2eecbacked Red Wings | 14c | 280$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…f73abacked Capitals | 69c | 270$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…b775backed Red Wings | 35c | 268.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…2e85backed Capitals | 67c | 265.33$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Red Wings | 66c | 256.68$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…5e58backed Red Wings | 17c | 240.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3c…238bbacked Red Wings | 18c | 234$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Wings | 31c | 229.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…5c35backed Capitals | 67c | 228.49$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…9d6abacked Red Wings | 33c | 225$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…d507backed Capitals | 67c | 223$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…d54abacked Red Wings | 33c | 223$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Capitals | 69c | 212.23$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Capitals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…0be4backed Capitals | 67c | 202.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…466fbacked Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9875…70f5backed Capitals | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9e…4d07backed Red Wings | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…d482backed Capitals | 68c | 197.6$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…2dcebacked Capitals | 67c | 197.22$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…34ebbacked Red Wings | 34c | 196.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a0…97d9backed Capitals | 69c | 191.83$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…b01abacked Red Wings | 34c | 191.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e82…6060backed Capitals | 67c | 189.31$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1915…98a1backed Red Wings | 33c | 188$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Red Wings | 68c | 188$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f4…a5cfbacked Capitals | 67c | 188$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694b…c8d4backed Red Wings | 33c | 179$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…78b1backed Capitals | 67c | 179$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 66c | 178.11$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…10d5backed Capitals | 67c | 178$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4410…5b44backed Red Wings | 33c | 178$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…ea9abacked Red Wings | 34c | 174.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.