TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Islanders, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x41e7…de49backed Hurricanes76c147,000$111,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,2803100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b8…b902backed Islanders24c147,000$35,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,28010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked Hurricanes76c7,852$5,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.992458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders28c6,404$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.081,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders23c4,698$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.6392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Islanders27c3,700$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.1837738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Hurricanes74c2,685$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.936450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Islanders26c2,641$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.6422842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Hurricanes73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67524546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hurricanes75c2,216$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55486649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Hurricanes74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Islanders24c1,919$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.6816645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Hurricanes74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3905757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Islanders27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40525340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Hurricanes79c1,429$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.0937254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Islanders21c1,369$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.4572847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Islanders30c1,282$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3863636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Islanders25c1,250$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.510627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Hurricanes73c1,172$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.3927958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders25c1,113$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.41,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Islanders9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Hurricanes57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43041340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Hurricanes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3008870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes74c870.06$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.2297651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Islanders27c650$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.530549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Islanders24c645$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Islanders11c637.49$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.718237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Islanders19c566.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104045%18 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Hurricanes76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3213457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Islanders25c505.36$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.341,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3c…5093backed Islanders24c450$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088627.9%24 W · 62 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Islanders3c449.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3138744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Hurricanes73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Hurricanes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1615456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Hurricanes77c260.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9212859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Hurricanes73c250$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.550857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62b2…85d5backed Islanders25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7784…5b6dbacked Islanders10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+50.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders6c235.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3891334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Islanders15c211.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.563,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hurricanes75c200.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hurricanes76c199.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4866951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Islanders23c180$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.42733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Hurricanes77c180$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.42669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+55%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcf4d…04cdbacked Hurricanes74c175.68$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.681258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Islanders24c166.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9728440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc970…a19bbacked Islanders22c165.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378740.2%35 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Hurricanes73c145$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.159064.4%58 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Hurricanes73c136.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.234252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hurricanes74c135.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.951,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Hurricanes78c114.88$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3811051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb24…df3fbacked Islanders21c114.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders27c105$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ee7…c797backed Islanders28c102.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Hurricanes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2726059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Islanders10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Islanders28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2827643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Islanders24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Hurricanes76c99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7620861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Islanders28c85.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Hurricanes75c84.21$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0513756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad93…c030backed Islanders24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa100…4e01backed Hurricanes76c72.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.28977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Hurricanes76c71.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1539757.2%227 W · 170 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hurricanes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0d8…134bbacked Islanders25c65.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.34650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8549…7a72backed Hurricanes74c64.86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.861533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36de…1639backed Islanders24c64.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fec…70f9backed Islanders31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204425%11 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…4130backed Islanders28c64.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fee…5519backed Islanders25c64.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.02944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4148…62dcbacked Hurricanes78c62.85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.83955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e39…a802backed Islanders24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb2d…0ab6backed Hurricanes77c62.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed37…5849backed Hurricanes77c62.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.341435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1060…a32dbacked Islanders25c61.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c4…ae60backed Islanders24c61.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.67944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c2…866fbacked Islanders24c60.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Hurricanes75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1523462%145 W · 89 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x257f…12fcbacked Hurricanes72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3a…d650backed Hurricanes80c57.86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6b…5ca5backed Hurricanes76c57.04$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Hurricanes74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0517363%109 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1268…94e0backed Islanders48c54.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.945440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Islanders24c53.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.723259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2759…c187backed Hurricanes77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.952665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Islanders23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.515730.6%48 W · 109 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd671…a1c2backed Islanders28c48.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Islanders22c47.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5658346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d66…3c95backed Hurricanes77c45.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.573256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Hurricanes77c45.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4525358.5%148 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9448…be98backed Hurricanes78c44.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8715470.1%108 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47ee…7cd4backed Islanders28c42.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Hurricanes73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.19755.7%54 W · 43 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Islanders27c40.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.058932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c28…02a1backed Islanders26c40.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.59944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4429…2e4dbacked Hurricanes74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.548669.8%60 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3377…0c95backed Hurricanes75c37.92$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.436100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a41…88d9backed Hurricanes77c37.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.