NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7a1ea32fd4f89a929e03c14686da1f086a93b70374dcabe312fdab3281d5fd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,249,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,163,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,249,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 891 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 71,942$37,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,286.02 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 52,290$11,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,232.83 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Timberwolves | 41c | 34,580$14,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,297.91 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 47c | 25,078$11,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,881.53 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Timberwolves | 71c | 16,406$11,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,775.35 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Nuggets | 51c | 15,766$8,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,074.95 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Nuggets | 60c | 14,177$8,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,470.89 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 13,787$9,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,318.14 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Nuggets | 58c | 12,170$7,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,013.02 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 12,165$5,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,055.99 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 47c | 11,818$5,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,206.06 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Nuggets | 54c | 11,339$6,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,135.1 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Nuggets | 40c | 10,268$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.41 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Nuggets | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…3589backed Timberwolves | 41c | 9,700$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,770 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 8,057$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,806.98 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nuggets | 57c | 7,895$4,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,518.24 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Nuggets | 40c | 7,811$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.76 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Nuggets | 63c | 7,802$4,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,916.5 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 58c | 7,650$4,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,437.1 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 42c | 7,497$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,348.26 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 49c | 6,983$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418.17 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…ad94backed Nuggets | 56c | 6,885$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Timberwolves | 29c | 5,797$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,129.78 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Nuggets | 58c | 5,779$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,336.93 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Nuggets | 49c | 5,500$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 5,309$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.55 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Timberwolves | 29c | 5,114$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.35 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Timberwolves | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…a098backed Nuggets | 23c | 4,918$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.18 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Nuggets | 64c | 4,884$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,126.39 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Timberwolves | 41c | 4,713$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.97 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 4,650$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.9 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nuggets | 54c | 4,524$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.52 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Timberwolves | 34c | 4,390$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.5 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 55c | 4,006$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.4 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets | 64c | 4,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.98 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Timberwolves | 55c | 3,770$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.42 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Timberwolves | 41c | 3,595$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.03 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Nuggets | 74c | 3,558$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.67 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Timberwolves | 41c | 3,500$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.77 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Nuggets | 32c | 3,430$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.08 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Timberwolves | 36c | 3,232$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.3 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nuggets | 62c | 3,074$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.97 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Nuggets | 56c | 3,043$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.11 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 42c | 3,000$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.68 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 43c | 2,608$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.9 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Timberwolves | 21c | 2,519$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.64 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 41c | 2,400$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Timberwolves | 29c | 2,303$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.34 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…132ebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,302$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…c561backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,287$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a0…ad36backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,285$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,219$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.68 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Nuggets | 45c | 2,201$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,199$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4d…d691backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,056$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nuggets | 5c | 1,995$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Nuggets | 57c | 1,945$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,915$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.42 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Nuggets | 9c | 1,912$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Nuggets | 69c | 1,909$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.51 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,827$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.37 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Timberwolves | 41c | 1,817$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.9 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Timberwolves | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.71 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Timberwolves | 29c | 1,750$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Nuggets | 60c | 1,620$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.02 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Timberwolves | 77c | 1,607$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.85 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Nuggets | 33c | 1,518$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nuggets | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuggets | 55c | 1,500$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Nuggets | 65c | 1,494$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.21 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Nuggets | 44c | 1,489$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,443$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Nuggets | 58c | 1,435$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.44 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,385$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.9 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Timberwolves | 36c | 1,320$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.67 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…e1b2backed Nuggets | 65c | 1,293$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Timberwolves | 41c | 1,284$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.7 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…96ebbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 1,265$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Nuggets | 80c | 1,231$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.15 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,212$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.58 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Nuggets | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.99 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Nuggets | 62c | 1,194$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.81 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Nuggets | 69c | 1,163$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 1,161$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.66 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,152$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.26 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nuggets | 56c | 1,124$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.24 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 1,108$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.07 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Timberwolves | 43c | 1,091$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.23 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,064$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.75 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Timberwolves | 41c | 1,056$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.76 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,036$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.71 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 61c | 1,000$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Nuggets | 57c | 962.79$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Timberwolves | 30c | 908.04$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.3 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.