NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef816665451603614ed2cac713df7d109840e943b884450c3ed329ba5a9a7857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $832,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $941,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $832,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 908 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 31c | 42,142$13,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,173.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Lakers | 55c | 41,161$22,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,415.31 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 35c | 34,176$12,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,094.51 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pacers | 49c | 31,927$15,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,489.8 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc29b…b635backed Lakers | 53c | 27,492$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,792.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Pacers | 48c | 21,466$10,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,404.01 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Lakers | 78c | 19,703$15,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,373.67 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Pacers | 43c | 13,210$5,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,735.47 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pacers | 34c | 12,404$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.55 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Pacers | 12c | 12,188$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.75 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Pacers | 20c | 12,028$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.61 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Pacers | 48c | 11,262$5,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,387.98 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Lakers | 51c | 10,750$5,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,273.39 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Lakers | 46c | 9,490$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080.82 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers | 18c | 8,658$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.5 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pacers | 61c | 6,944$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,226.13 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Pacers | 42c | 6,465$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.65 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1652…8f70backed Pacers | 51c | 6,399$3,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pacers | 38c | 5,925$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.94 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Lakers | 50c | 5,560$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.17 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Lakers | 59c | 5,494$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.64 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Lakers | 42c | 5,174$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.29 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Pacers | 49c | 5,171$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.81 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lakers | 66c | 5,163$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.2 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Lakers | 69c | 5,000$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Pacers | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Lakers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Lakers | 52c | 4,939$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.89 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Pacers | 50c | 4,882$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.17 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pacers | 47c | 4,364$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.66 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Pacers | 37c | 4,225$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.42 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 51c | 3,963$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.97 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Lakers | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pacers | 48c | 3,787$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.74 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Lakers | 50c | 3,730$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.22 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5122…791ebacked Pacers | 33c | 3,333$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pacers | 37c | 3,233$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.09 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lakers | 77c | 3,215$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.78 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pacers | 65c | 2,968$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.27 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers | 42c | 2,862$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.47 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Lakers | 78c | 2,800$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.68 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Lakers | 78c | 2,728$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.53 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Lakers | 51c | 2,428$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.62 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Lakers | 67c | 2,407$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.14 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pacers | 48c | 2,324$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.54 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pacers | 48c | 2,197$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.36 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5191…4e5dbacked Lakers | 51c | 2,170$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers | 34c | 2,143$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.07 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9309…9cf5backed Lakers | 51c | 2,122$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…2444backed Lakers | 51c | 2,108$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pacers | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Pacers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Pacers | 30c | 2,001$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.68 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Lakers | 74c | 2,000$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.19 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Lakers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Pacers | 48c | 1,997$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.56 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pacers | 50c | 1,985$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Pacers | 47c | 1,950$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lakers | 54c | 1,928$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.59 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Lakers | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Lakers | 53c | 1,883$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.95 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pacers | 49c | 1,862$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.5 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Pacers | 33c | 1,821$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Pacers | 43c | 1,796$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,700$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Lakers | 51c | 1,660$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Lakers | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.77 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Lakers | 65c | 1,522$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.35 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pacers | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Lakers | 36c | 1,485$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.51 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…5e87backed Lakers | 68c | 1,328$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Lakers | 64c | 1,262$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.24 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers | 48c | 1,237$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.59 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pacers | 36c | 1,119$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.04 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Lakers | 46c | 1,085$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.11 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…fbc0backed Lakers | 53c | 1,080$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pacers | 3c | 1,010$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Pacers | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe79b…b82cbacked Pacers | 50c | 999.8$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Lakers | 47c | 986.44$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.81 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07f…0fa9backed Lakers | 51c | 980.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Lakers | 51c | 958.12$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.13 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Pacers | 23c | 952.46$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.73 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Lakers | 50c | 909.92$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.89 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe047…60e5backed Lakers | 64c | 901.46$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e7…c0dbbacked Pacers | 34c | 884.4$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd150…264fbacked Pacers | 48c | 857.4$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pacers | 48c | 830.4$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.46 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Pacers | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Lakers | 51c | 800$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.3 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Lakers | 52c | 769.21$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.22 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Pacers | 27c | 751.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Pacers | 38c | 751.02$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…9e23backed Pacers | 28c | 708.69$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.38 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Pacers | 44c | 665.8$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.93 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lakers | 51c | 665$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.85 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Pacers | 31c | 653.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lakers | 50c | 643$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.5 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.