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NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Devilsof Devils, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$220,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xffa4…1f7fbacked Devils47c89,812$42,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,600.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaba…f4e4backed Wild53c89,812$47,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,600.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb167…3a2fbacked Devils47c62,300$29,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,0191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa642…309fbacked Wild53c62,300$33,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,01920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Devils48c12,943$6,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,752.8930549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Devils49c8,194$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,193.617044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Wild52c7,500$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90036242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Wild38c6,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2802441.7%10 W · 14 L-5.9wins-0.25per pick66cpaid-42.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Devils62c5,980$3,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.491,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Wild54c4,992$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,690.1631546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Wild40c3,921$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.495757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Wild17c3,181$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.813348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Wild36c3,025$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.54955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Devils75c2,965$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.8713754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Devils46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild49c2,156$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.491,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Wild54c2,064$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.9621652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Wild53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0602626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Devils70c1,860$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.683,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb006…4eb8backed Devils47c1,519$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8051464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Wild52c1,320$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.7149351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Devils46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.9766951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Devils48c1,112$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.3292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Wild38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Wild24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24041340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Wild52c849.96$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.9821750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wild53c707.08$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.761,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Devils44c620.59$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.5322842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Wild28c608.23$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.559747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eaf…a016backed Wild55c585.66$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca6…b719backed Devils46c583.2$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.93742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wild52c575.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.5175155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Devils48c564.66$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6210145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d0…73cdbacked Wild56c504.2$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.351353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x394c…7654backed Wild55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf89f…e5a8backed Devils45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Wild53c324.55$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Devils47c278.58$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.651,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…9e23backed Wild28c267.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-62.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Wild31c243.41$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.298350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36da…aa79backed Wild54c240.19$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.73423.5%8 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Wild55c222$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.150857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Devils44c200.32$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.381,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Wild39c199.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7726059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Devils77c195.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.887256.9%41 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Devils74c193.42$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2921255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Wild54c186.8$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8710448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Wild24c183.82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0938744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Wild56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Devils46c174$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6760…39a0backed Devils69c173.9$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb65…3412backed Wild53c169.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa191…7facbacked Wild54c165.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.582657.7%15 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdede…149ebacked Devils47c133.62$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.823161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Wild38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Wild31c120.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9811354%61 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Wild31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3754418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a31…f3babacked Devils48c107.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.661361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bca…16bfbacked Devils47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.383661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1ee…b078backed Wild56c102.32$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.314156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Devils47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bea…1c4bbacked Devils45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Wild24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Wild53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5350049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c12…577dbacked Wild55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe225…0644backed Devils48c96.6$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.232254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b2…ab20backed Wild54c92.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.911435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83b0…9da7backed Devils74c91.6$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.375164.7%33 W · 18 L+8.5wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+42.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Devils44c88.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.420649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2388…a491backed Devils68c85.8$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.451315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf716…7667backed Wild56c78.57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9f…3b4bbacked Devils70c78.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.575673.2%41 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f21…eee8backed Wild54c66.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.071428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-47.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Wild56c66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.969064.4%58 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489e…74b3backed Wild55c65.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd876…7771backed Devils46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.221250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Wild56c65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.420861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed Wild52c65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.87936.7%29 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x43ea…92b7backed Devils48c61.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.881656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Devils68c60.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Devils45c58.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9737738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x626e…c324backed Wild53c58.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.751947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Wild55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Wild33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.572448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21bb…114bbacked Wild53c48.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.731450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Wild24c48.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6357238.1%218 W · 354 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d6…423fbacked Wild42c47.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f95…9bd4backed Devils76c44.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.95862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Wild56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434f…db36backed Devils46c41.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.48683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+55.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Devils54c41.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.067448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Wild56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.417363%109 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c4…398abacked Devils46c39.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.531060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c2…866fbacked Devils46c39.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.41955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9448…be98backed Devils78c38.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2715470.1%108 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653c…a02abacked Wild54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Devils46c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4448149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.