TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Lazio win on 2025-03-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,601 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc04d…69e7backed Yes69c17,507$12,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,08020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No31c17,471$5,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,975.273863.2%24 W · 14 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No52c8,568$4,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,069.787862.8%49 W · 29 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes48c7,073$3,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,361.239961.6%61 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes18c6,111$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.87520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x616f…e996backed No36c5,960$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,814.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+113.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No34c3,791$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.9833055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes66c3,425$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2473839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No33c3,066$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.1926022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.9720132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed No31c2,682$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.67520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes30c2,613$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.578129.6%24 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked Yes68c2,500$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7051060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No58c1,644$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.1612243.4%53 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No35c1,500$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9819145.1%41 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1747…bdf1backed No35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd296…5febbacked Yes11c1,100$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4630…c420backed No35c1,055$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.45520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.48045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6703444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6db3…3772backed Yes66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad7c…004dbacked Yes67c999.99$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5613…10c9backed No36c992.51$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes32c833.88$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.842035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002425%6 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes66c756.63$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.1814042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e27…143ebacked Yes67c754.9$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No31c729.47$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.441656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No66c642.01$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.97759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x87cf…25a4backed Yes65c618.28$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd2…fec8backed Yes67c611.43$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d1…05a0backed Yes68c588.24$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes10c556.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.527939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes64c546.79$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9510452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafbd…8cb1backed Yes68c522.51$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3454257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3258749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes69c362.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Yes67c325.56$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38bc…c0a2backed Yes65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c8…1efabacked No37c202.7$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.71338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063941%16 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacd8…e908backed Yes65c183.26$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes58c172.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.08616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-78.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No33c169.43$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.029561.1%58 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ff…30e8backed Yes42c161.27$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6870%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed No33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.52742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes69c150$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.51625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5dc…0bc1backed Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Yes69c130$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.740%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d21…28ddbacked Yes68c125$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No55c122.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.342070%14 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7410…ffc6backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe528…6385backed Yes74c100.48$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes45c86.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.052630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes70c78.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.653467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504261.9%26 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a8…f976backed Yes73c76.71$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes68c68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.242347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes65c62.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+70%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6173…4258backed Yes64c61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.041926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes59c59.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Yes69c53.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d66…3c95backed Yes68c51.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed No58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+74.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes64c47.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5512737%47 W · 80 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf16e…5220backed Yes59c46.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f9e…528dbacked No33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ae…66c4backed Yes72c45.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f9a…c496backed Yes62c45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf0f…addabacked Yes69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302035%7 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-41.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf585…f019backed Yes65c43.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x939c…472cbacked Yes64c42.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked No37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5608…e522backed Yes69c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd1…3476backed Yes68c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc0…5cdbbacked Yes69c36.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf3…6e88backed Yes69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201520%3 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-57.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yes65c33.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.494360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x527f…2ae6backed Yes69c32.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3640%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25dd…1a7bbacked Yes65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e81…b287backed Yes67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc202…d5b5backed Yes68c29.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4005…36d1backed Yes69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfffd…c57dbacked Yes69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe019…018bbacked Yes69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+36%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd8…5ddcbacked No54c26.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecba…938fbacked Yes64c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.