Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Lazio win on 2025-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc214905bf66a31767a58c8f36f6d3175245799c86a3ec1b082165443395bfbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc04d…69e7backed Yes | 69c | 17,507$12,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,080 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 31c | 17,471$5,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,975.27 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 52c | 8,568$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.78 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 48c | 7,073$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.23 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 18c | 6,111$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e996backed No | 36c | 5,960$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,814.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 34c | 3,791$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.98 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 66c | 3,425$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 33c | 3,066$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.19 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.97 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 31c | 2,682$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 30c | 2,613$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.57 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 68c | 2,500$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 58c | 1,644$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.16 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 35c | 1,500$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…bdf1backed No | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…5febbacked Yes | 11c | 1,100$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…c420backed No | 35c | 1,055$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.4 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…3772backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…004dbacked Yes | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5613…10c9backed No | 36c | 992.51$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 32c | 833.88$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.84 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 66c | 756.63$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.18 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e27…143ebacked Yes | 67c | 754.9$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 31c | 729.47$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 66c | 642.01$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.9 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Yes | 65c | 618.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…fec8backed Yes | 67c | 611.43$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…05a0backed Yes | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 10c | 556.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 64c | 546.79$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.95 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…8cb1backed Yes | 68c | 522.51$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Yes | 67c | 325.56$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38bc…c0a2backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked No | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…e908backed Yes | 65c | 183.26$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed Yes | 58c | 172.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 33c | 169.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.02 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Yes | 42c | 161.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…0bc1backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Yes | 69c | 130$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…28ddbacked Yes | 68c | 125$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 55c | 122.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…ffc6backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe528…6385backed Yes | 74c | 100.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 45c | 86.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 70c | 78.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a8…f976backed Yes | 73c | 76.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 68c | 68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes | 65c | 62.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 64c | 61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 69c | 53.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d66…3c95backed Yes | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 64c | 47.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…5220backed Yes | 59c | 46.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9e…528dbacked No | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…66c4backed Yes | 72c | 45.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…c496backed Yes | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…f019backed Yes | 65c | 43.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…472cbacked Yes | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked No | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…e522backed Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…3476backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…5cdbbacked Yes | 69c | 36.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…6e88backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 65c | 33.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x527f…2ae6backed Yes | 69c | 32.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dd…1a7bbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e81…b287backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…d5b5backed Yes | 68c | 29.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4005…36d1backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…c57dbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked No | 54c | 26.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…938fbacked Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lazio win on 2025-03-13?this page
- Will Lazio vs. Plzen end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Plzen win on 2025-03-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.