TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Magic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Jazz, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$289,582
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$311,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,582 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19d8…1691backed Magic0c44,236$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2472241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Magic36c22,257$7,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,951.067248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Jazz70c15,246$10,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,602.4470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz47c10,847$5,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,767.533,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58e6…2c48backed Magic0c8,371$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.924010%4 W · 36 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Magic71c6,666$4,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,703.4337448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Magic73c4,848$3,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,514.7811842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3c…502dbacked Jazz24c4,649$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,548.791127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Jazz30c4,100$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,853.9746131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz26c4,000$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,954.9772341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic18c3,077$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.6565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz31c3,000$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.31,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Magic56c2,997$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.4719350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Magic0c2,617$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.171,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Jazz28c2,527$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.6511834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Jazz30c2,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.8937954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f0…42debacked Jazz25c2,264$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+307.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Jazz29c2,259$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.7150245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Magic75c2,137$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.6812245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Magic4c2,110$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.471,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55f3…8525backed Jazz24c2,096$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Magic75c2,077$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.7930954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Magic68c2,000$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.6436843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Jazz35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30030443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Magic75c1,965$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46530351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed Jazz30c1,867$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.676450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Jazz28c1,851$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.816160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic68c1,801$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.681,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz28c1,674$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.1488053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Magic63c1,666$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.134949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz25c1,588$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.511,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Jazz28c1,584$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.929250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x458b…8ab5backed Magic68c1,540$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz24c1,500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.9940627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ac…7f5abacked Magic74c1,417$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.651145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfc…c566backed Magic70c1,400$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Magic69c1,400$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9623663.9%23 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac7c…0dc3backed Jazz31c1,400$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Magic51c1,300$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.9429043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb28b…e410backed Magic8c1,290$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Jazz57c1,282$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.3139843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…ad17backed Jazz25c1,200$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.961145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Magic68c1,189$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.044953.1%26 W · 23 L-8.4wins-0.17per pick70cpaid-25.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz37c1,176$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.225,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Jazz42c1,166$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.5617141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jazz31c1,000$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69575347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Magic70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006365.1%41 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jazz23c999.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Magic70c999.99$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic70c985.7$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.991,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Magic53c951.67$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.1715947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3011…43d9backed Magic77c942.26$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.54333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+122.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Magic77c910.35$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.979557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Jazz29c862.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.076429.7%19 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5d7…9a7ebacked Magic75c847.67$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf96d…dafdbacked Jazz28c840.07$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.852152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d36…76c6backed Magic77c826.87$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Magic74c770.27$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57013456.7%76 W · 58 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz22c700$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5461,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Magic25c699.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1757741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…b6e1backed Magic76c691.29$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Jazz32c689.67$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.9873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Jazz44c683.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.9445135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d98…5ec8backed Jazz32c668.75$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+104.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefbb…70b7backed Magic77c650.39$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ceb…0c87backed Jazz35c640.47$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.227251.4%37 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Magic59c610$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.926235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Jazz26c602$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.4851037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Magic46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27621357.7%123 W · 90 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Jazz31c580$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.230440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe91d…81dfbacked Magic69c579.71$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004573.3%33 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Jazz31c548.31$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.2747948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Magic35c500$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17413920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Magic70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35029148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Jazz44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28018632.8%61 W · 125 L-12.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb4d…2a7cbacked Jazz30c500$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3521040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…396ebacked Jazz32c496.88$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Jazz31c486$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.8371747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Jazz54c453.38$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.69739.2%38 W · 59 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Magic54c438.89$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Jazz29c432.14$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.3826933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4a1…8445backed Magic72c425.42$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Jazz24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6730354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz31c404$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.762,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Jazz35c402.6$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.6927939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Magic76c400$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.0926547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6274…f988backed Magic68c399.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705855.2%32 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8a3…cad5backed Jazz32c375$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Magic71c354.26$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.897263.9%46 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Magic71c350.12$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24936449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Magic58c350$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.531935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61de…e4f7backed Magic77c337$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7679…8c3abacked Jazz28c334.58$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2811849.2%58 W · 60 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Jazz42c334.26$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2263555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Jazz31c322$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1831125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Jazz72c313.36$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.176947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Magic49c310.4$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.18129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19e…461abacked Jazz29c301.41$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2144639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Magic72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a4…17d0backed Magic72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2163565.7%23 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.