TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Wingsof Hurricanes, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$475,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$484,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9a0…88eebacked Hurricanes47c215,116$101,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,433.4113845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Red Wings49c81,505$39,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,517.0944848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdce2…774ebacked Red Wings35c66,200$23,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,0301100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1200…6c6fbacked Hurricanes65c59,400$38,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,61010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings60c43,551$26,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,434.481,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings47c34,449$16,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,420.4992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x738f…965fbacked Hurricanes65c31,300$20,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,34520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Red Wings60c27,000$16,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,74013348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00f…db97backed Hurricanes66c26,339$17,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,5002737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0f6…41d9backed Red Wings35c26,150$9,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,997.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Red Wings53c20,000$10,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,409.1117448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Hurricanes66c14,637$9,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,598.732650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Red Wings59c13,725$8,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,644.519555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Red Wings35c10,473$3,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,818.9449351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Red Wings39c10,125$3,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,211.9385464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Red Wings59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10013655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Hurricanes65c8,590$5,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,583.625757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Red Wings36c8,327$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,293.2530549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Hurricanes65c7,697$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Red Wings36c7,500$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.9836242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Hurricanes64c6,283$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0502864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa176…4167backed Hurricanes65c4,500$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,92510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Red Wings41c3,832$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,247.5618237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc502…14cabacked Red Wings36c3,736$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,390.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Red Wings37c3,500$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20524546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ca…c338backed Red Wings36c3,414$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+122.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa201…ab01backed Red Wings35c3,320$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.721040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Red Wings34c2,999$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.5111354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Wings34c2,942$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.7272847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Hurricanes45c2,592$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1609750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings35c2,501$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.451,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e8…0c2ebacked Hurricanes64c2,478$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf998…3156backed Hurricanes64c2,400$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.79475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Red Wings68c2,341$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.5613754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bbb…61fcbacked Hurricanes64c2,272$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings69c2,150$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.953,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f5…94bebacked Hurricanes64c2,138$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Red Wings58c2,090$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.692853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Red Wings35c2,064$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.5637738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings61c2,008$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.041,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Hurricanes64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2804242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.9697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e24…15e6backed Red Wings36c1,997$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.081457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Red Wings35c1,934$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.9679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hurricanes63c1,850$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings38c1,700$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0541,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings35c1,642$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.981,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0d…0ed4backed Hurricanes64c1,577$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.171866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Red Wings66c1,517$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.353259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Hurricanes66c1,516$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Red Wings73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8627958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ec…df7bbacked Hurricanes64c1,250$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Red Wings34c1,232$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.1213756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db2…df26backed Red Wings36c1,104$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Red Wings34c1,087$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.4210627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Hurricanes38c1,006$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.9610546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hurricanes65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12ac…7f5abacked Red Wings62c978.16$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.74100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa191…7facbacked Hurricanes65c923.08$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002657.7%15 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Red Wings36c915.88$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.1664242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Red Wings35c899.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.9920649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a4…8f85backed Red Wings36c700$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab6…a5edbacked Red Wings35c658.08$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.75944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Hurricanes65c613.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95fd…597dbacked Hurricanes64c613.15$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.42850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Red Wings47c600$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32010127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Hurricanes64c598.44$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38358467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x105e…4741backed Hurricanes65c597.03$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.761020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-64.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ff7…ac6abacked Hurricanes64c554.73$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…c837backed Hurricanes64c549.7$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Hurricanes65c528.66$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.529554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Hurricanes65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3259064.4%58 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Hurricanes64c499.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9916554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0397…0657backed Hurricanes65c489.23$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b1…35e5backed Hurricanes13c479.89$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f59…de15backed Hurricanes64c447$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc80…6e40backed Red Wings36c447$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13e…b804backed Red Wings36c446$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cad…eb45backed Hurricanes64c446$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe08d…d5d4backed Hurricanes64c440$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.64161%25 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e64…5686backed Hurricanes65c380$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-70.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Red Wings41c378.52$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.1719848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed0d…daabbacked Hurricanes64c373$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e00…dd24backed Red Wings36c373$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hurricanes52c366.06$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Hurricanes5c332$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.621895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2510…5b69backed Hurricanes64c329$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08eb…50d6backed Red Wings36c329$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+65.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8055…5538backed Red Wings36c326$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b3…ce24backed Hurricanes64c326$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a08…2155backed Hurricanes65c320$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0532…0b95backed Red Wings36c310.95$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.012326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-47.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed Hurricanes45c308.56$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8111248.2%54 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Hurricanes65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007071.4%50 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5d…dbd2backed Red Wings36c306$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c47…eb9ebacked Hurricanes64c306$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Hurricanes65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19537254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Hurricanes64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19250857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Red Wings36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19250049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Hurricanes65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19524457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.