NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8084d59c26f336f2bdf6764a1e638611b3060207286f6e8b1eefb0efcd7614b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $418,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $505,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Nuggets | 56c | 57,193$31,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,756.39 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Bulls | 43c | 45,870$19,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,972.65 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Nuggets | 54c | 20,465$11,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,038.34 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bulls | 50c | 13,748$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,817.62 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bulls | 44c | 12,691$5,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,056.99 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nuggets | 48c | 12,633$6,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,103.34 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Bulls | 54c | 11,782$6,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,406.63 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bulls | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.98 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bulls | 44c | 10,000$4,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,642.95 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nuggets | 66c | 6,996$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,607 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 9c | 6,974$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.04 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Nuggets | 46c | 6,147$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.36 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bulls | 44c | 5,738$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.23 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Nuggets | 57c | 4,769$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.46 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nuggets | 54c | 4,753$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.06 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Bulls | 41c | 4,601$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.84 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bulls | 43c | 3,896$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.58 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bulls | 43c | 3,708$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.56 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,673$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.29 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Bulls | 55c | 3,628$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.7 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Bulls | 70c | 3,294$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.32 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Bulls | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 56c | 2,832$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.1 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,751$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,669$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.86 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Bulls | 41c | 2,663$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.71 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bulls | 53c | 2,495$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.3 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Nuggets | 46c | 2,414$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.08 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Bulls | 39c | 2,300$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nuggets | 67c | 2,018$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.17 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Nuggets | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Nuggets | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Nuggets | 26c | 2,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.58 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,963$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.72 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Nuggets | 62c | 1,887$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.17 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Bulls | 44c | 1,795$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,769$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.8 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Bulls | 51c | 1,700$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.32 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Nuggets | 60c | 1,655$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,634$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.51 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nuggets | 2c | 1,550$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Bulls | 39c | 1,427$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.55 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Nuggets | 44c | 1,409$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.35 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe628…1595backed Nuggets | 41c | 1,327$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.97 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Nuggets | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bulls | 33c | 1,227$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.19 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,213$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bulls | 44c | 1,209$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.28 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Bulls | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Nuggets | 42c | 1,167$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,056$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.42 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Bulls | 46c | 1,046$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.24 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Nuggets | 59c | 1,004$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Nuggets | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…f405backed Nuggets | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Bulls | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…fbc0backed Nuggets | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…f6d4backed Bulls | 43c | 999.96$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nuggets | 2c | 835.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Bulls | 70c | 834.88$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.53 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets | 2c | 823$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…eefdbacked Nuggets | 59c | 805.08$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Nuggets | 70c | 747.23$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.06 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…0c0bbacked Nuggets | 57c | 736.58$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bulls | 56c | 709.83$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.46 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Nuggets | 57c | 703.81$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.02 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Bulls | 36c | 700$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.95 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc3…14dbbacked Bulls | 45c | 666.2$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Nuggets | 2c | 650$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Nuggets | 70c | 637.02$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.91 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Bulls | 46c | 621.74$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.24 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bulls | 40c | 620.07$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.04 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Bulls | 44c | 619.06$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.67 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Bulls | 27c | 560.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.28 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Nuggets | 52c | 531.07$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.99 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…4777backed Bulls | 49c | 516.66$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccd…0953backed Bulls | 42c | 509.46$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Nuggets | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bulls | 40c | 476$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.84 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…f84bbacked Bulls | 42c | 473.17$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets | 71c | 466.86$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.26 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…dc5dbacked Nuggets | 14c | 465.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Bulls | 50c | 462$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Bulls | 32c | 450$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.5 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…82c7backed Bulls | 64c | 436.31$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…a887backed Nuggets | 33c | 434.42$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -83%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Bulls | 51c | 432.69$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.69 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Bulls | 32c | 400$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.5 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Nuggets | 59c | 399.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Bulls | 44c | 399$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.96 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Bulls | 36c | 389.09$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.09 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…694cbacked Bulls | 41c | 363.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Bulls | 33c | 357.81$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.27 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Nuggets | 59c | 353.41$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.51 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…de2dbacked Nuggets | 58c | 351.32$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bulls | 43c | 322.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.37 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…c635backed Bulls | 41c | 314.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Nuggets | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.