TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,044 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9a0…88eebacked No56c18,769$10,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,540.4211454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No58c17,260$10,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,006.6230851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes45c17,199$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,499.369235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes42c17,000$7,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,859.996445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d2…81e0backed No57c14,411$8,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,221.662646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa074…49c3backed Yes44c12,514$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,013.881353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes44c11,388$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,387.577341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Yes43c8,916$3,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,082.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No54c8,148$4,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,359.9779650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes42c7,550$3,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,37968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes46c6,265$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,365.1611548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No57c5,925$3,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,361.1513857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked No58c5,452$3,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1623333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No42c4,961$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.2737652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes62c4,550$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.54264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No25c3,704$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.5320744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No57c3,674$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.7179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No57c3,420$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.1890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No42c3,415$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.7738645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes44c3,345$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.0641437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Yes62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1401968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes44c3,000$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6903060%18 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.586137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.2212053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No56c2,183$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.991,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No56c2,048$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.1883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Yes44c2,020$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.25257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No55c1,801$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.259754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0261…94f1backed Yes42c1,600$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d56…2400backed No58c1,600$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No57c1,464$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.2624566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes43c1,113$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.2917234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes62c895.16$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.1614156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes43c800$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45417837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Yes43c744.19$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.192748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes42c742$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.3417447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No55c528.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.1981559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes63c528.71$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.896737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Yes61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1953253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes42c472.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.1529044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes41c450$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.58747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No60c438.33$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2637844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf01…a1a2backed Yes43c395.35$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.35862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes60c350$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14027752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed No58c349.96$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.738254.9%45 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes74c344.84$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.672060%12 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No56c317.96$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7552060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.59037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1718453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17432736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked No39c299.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1174839.6%19 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No55c298.82$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1036…7defbacked Yes43c240.21$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ac…e70cbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf9f…2a46backed No59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfe5…ee97backed Yes51c180.26$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed No44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d9f…af72backed Yes46c144.19$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.192360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No56c143.65$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.914953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe019…018bbacked Yes46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.438339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes62c126.11$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.763935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb955…175ebacked Yes43c120.3$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3d…498abacked Yes43c116.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.713630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.286139.3%24 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No56c115.26$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2765557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Yes62c111.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2916955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.47350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes46c109.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.689938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No55c106$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5759958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes42c105.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1126054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584928.6%14 W · 35 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa89d…d941backed No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf065…20abbacked Yes43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+31.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6fd…fdfebacked Yes43c86$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02a…67a7backed No59c81.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes43c81.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.45358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0c…f457backed Yes42c80.88$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+64.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44fc…abb4backed Yes42c80.74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.834100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+97.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No53c79.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.397335.6%26 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x564d…aef1backed Yes42c79.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b03…b2f0backed No59c78.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325d…515cbacked No59c77.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1060…a32dbacked No59c76.56$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed No60c76.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.695742.1%24 W · 33 L-8.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x547b…014cbacked Yes45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No56c66.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1518752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd548…9713backed Yes46c64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.421050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes62c58.59$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.994134.1%14 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc57d…12b5backed Yes46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.352951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked Yes46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.356051.7%31 W · 29 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x81d3…e98ebacked Yes43c53.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2815726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.187061.4%43 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd36e…f9adbacked Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5b…95a7backed Yes43c48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.36580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d66…3c95backed Yes43c47.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.861369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.