TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,283
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,283 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8011…e98ebacked No75c5,020$3,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.35257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0de4…2d29backed Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes29c1,931$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.5179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…395ebacked Yes17c1,457$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.313138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4eb…161fbacked No70c1,451$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x352d…ef4bbacked Yes30c1,450$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes17c1,392$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2312227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes14c1,335$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2637652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes21c1,009$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.1438645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No70c949.99$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18d2…81e0backed No69c815.6$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.832646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Yes29c707.68$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.231735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Yes30c700$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-64.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No69c653.27$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.6817447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes31c625$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.751,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No69c608.95$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.775650%28 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes16c558$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.28742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8087…ae70backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes31c486$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.668045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Yes31c413.16$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.082240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes23c362$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2214945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed No68c350$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1128747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No71c330$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3921153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No70c320.7$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2352060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No70c280.91$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes22c231.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db1…faadbacked Yes5c220$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes31c164.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.886741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes32c156$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9221445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe019…018bbacked Yes29c155.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.59355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3025…fccdbacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8529653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f7f…b28abacked No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes31c132.74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.157346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes30c131.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…01ddbacked Yes19c120.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Yes17c118.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.095949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315740.4%23 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd38…09a8backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick10cpaid+323.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab71…6f34backed Yes30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x55b7…4beebacked Yes31c97.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yes32c96.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.782619.2%5 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27e…502bbacked Yes29c75.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d55…45e8backed No72c75.86$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No68c72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0431359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No69c72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3281559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4242755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2118260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes29c67.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5cb…27b3backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa4…c7c8backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b17…fcd1backed Yes30c59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-54.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4669…140bbacked Yes32c54.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d9c…71f1backed Yes29c51.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9775…8746backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155226.9%14 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes29c49.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.515726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c17…9b2dbacked Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+118%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25b6…4da6backed Yes31c38.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-78.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7120958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed No70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7114057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x807b…89b7backed Yes31c35.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a9f…3b4bbacked No71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2111100%11 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x36d1…402fbacked Yes30c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d4…962dbacked No72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.724660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked No71c33.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.820059.5%119 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed No72c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.246248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No70c32.43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7336845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc039…e2e0backed Yes32c31.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbfe…5247backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102030%6 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No69c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4465557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No69c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bae…4081backed No71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No72c21.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.914953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab73…3763backed No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2d…c796backed No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b88…3ae5backed No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a11…9dcdbacked No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03d1…f55dbacked No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80c9…b01abacked No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18cb…72c4backed No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc8…18e6backed No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3769…7ee1backed No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bd…c982backed No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7006…25cbbacked No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95c4…52b3backed No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x799a…844dbacked No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb137…2beebacked No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aee…c531backed No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9812…3e9ebacked No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x205a…1d2bbacked No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1434…f9abbacked No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4395…e015backed No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1c3…df6fbacked No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.