TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes33c72,886$23,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,991.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c36,095$24,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,681.881,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes32c22,319$7,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,139.524045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c8,245$5,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c6,396$4,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.4587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No67c6,204$4,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No69c5,372$3,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.5612963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No67c3,200$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0566347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed No67c3,100$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No68c2,574$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.0916644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No69c2,505$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.259960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No69c2,491$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.2112738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No67c2,400$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7924548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c1,457$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.181,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No69c1,445$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.891442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No67c1,400$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4625151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No67c1,200$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3963737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No67c1,200$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3965151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Yes30c1,188$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c1,091$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.6262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No68c1,064$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.3935157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32012647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed No68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+61.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes33c958.49$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.1610145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No69c929.75$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.3326354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No67c860$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.88254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No67c831$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.232437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No67c800$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2643250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No68c791.66$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.3123342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No67c777$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.418644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No67c736$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.883948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No68c643$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4928448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No67c614.76$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8720150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1985251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1984854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes30c599.19$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6822745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No67c522.39$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.348150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No67c480$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.44447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No67c480$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.44753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes32c400.01$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12812957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1324951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1324548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Yes33c399.89$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4210248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x061e…6a2cbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No67c320$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.65251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No67c280$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.45552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No67c280$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.44953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No68c250$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8116448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes31c221.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6718046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked No68c211.31$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.622259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No67c208.75$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.893135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206529.2%19 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No67c193.87$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8212556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No68c181$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes14c180.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.733145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No67c161.18$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.893764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No67c160$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.84847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No67c160$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.84553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c151.25$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3938056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No67c149$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5346450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed No69c145.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.18771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed No69c145$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.951566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No69c141.78$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.964951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes29c140.54$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4448649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No67c128$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.796759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No67c127.6$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.733268.8%22 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.65352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.64650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…44efbacked Yes30c115.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.51944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b65…e6bfbacked Yes32c113.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked No67c110.34$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.192777.8%21 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c7b…a592backed No70c109.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes18c108.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes30c107.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.155829.3%17 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No67c105$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.653036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No71c104$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.165644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328250%41 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d14…ee01backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336330.2%19 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes30c87.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.158957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed No67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.42152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.43652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.44252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes30c74.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-57.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No67c71.28$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.293354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes31c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.73050%15 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.418155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.89954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No67c58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1410643.4%46 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No68c57.1$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2718351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No67c50.42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.63554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No67c49.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.33357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Yes30c49.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No78c49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.788976.4%68 W · 21 L+17.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.