TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes66c13,791$9,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,620.6922745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c11,061$4,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,528.041,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No34c7,571$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,574.061643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c5,721$3,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,205.3752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No57c3,814$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.728254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes44c3,023$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.7323250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3744…c141backed No33c2,832$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes44c1,262$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.6410145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes44c1,000$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.3230448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked No34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5603441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No38c961.83$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.0933145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes42c799.74$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.8512957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c696.82$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.9387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No57c662.79$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.0126354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3363655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No58c564.6$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.1812963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes67c557.93$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.861,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No56c553.69$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.0735157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes66c499.99$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.71862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed No58c499.98$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-55.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.19850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.551936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes58c417.57$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7948649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes66c378.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.791637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Yes44c357.74$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes42c321.43$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.439641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No34c317.15$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8918046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No56c300.64$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7823342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1404751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed No59c245.64$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.932263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes41c232.34$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.082857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+37.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d1d…3f8dbacked Yes43c230.39$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes45c210.97$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.973151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x535e…7024backed Yes72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+53.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No33c163$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.798644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes43c157.15$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.665651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes79c124.87$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9726046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No55c122.59$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.435644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed No56c119.45$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.89650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes42c117.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.73850%19 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.114443.2%19 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.561030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No58c101$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5838056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598250%41 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes45c96.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1712238.5%47 W · 75 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes43c85.4$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.723050%15 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes42c83.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.333721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes45c77.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.782860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No13c76.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Yes39c65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.652944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Yes37c62.87$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.61944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7d…582abacked Yes42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes68c58.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.495955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2916448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b40…cf5fbacked Yes44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No46c49.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7115951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No57c46.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.728150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d4…523cbacked No60c46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.444555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No33c44.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6711753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No35c44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.578643%37 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb033…9e1bbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked No59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+37.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed No59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No35c38.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.246759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No50c38.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0318155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes40c37.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.334266.7%28 W · 14 L+10.6wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+70.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No57c37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.094050%20 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x784a…06c3backed Yes68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.761090%9 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf67…9fccbacked Yes45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes61c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.872254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No55c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No62c31.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.766065%39 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes58c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.489050%45 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Yes45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.56256.5%35 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.528448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e2…20ccbacked Yes64c29.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.68683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+73.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Yes63c27.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.063560%21 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No54c26.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5312647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa01a…1c6ebacked Yes42c26.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Yes44c23.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.044062.5%25 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes55c22.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4214352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…3203backed Yes45c22.59$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.421241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91c6…e35bbacked Yes51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No58c19.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.644951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf8…4d13backed No58c18.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No56c18.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1126041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Yes75c17.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.361145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.