NFL · resolved market
Falcons vs. Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf988770b8949b89dd531fce2c6acc52ab9852849a71598aae4889ad3742787d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Falcons, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $412,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $423,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Broncos | 55c | 45,818$25,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,816.84 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Broncos | 72c | 36,131$25,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,291.49 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Falcons | 1c | 33,914$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.51 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Falcons | 43c | 23,965$10,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,307.13 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Falcons | 19c | 19,195$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Falcons | 46c | 16,194$7,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,427.49 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Falcons | 46c | 12,720$5,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,816.61 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Falcons | 44c | 7,515$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.92 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Broncos | 55c | 5,696$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.61 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…3e9dbacked Broncos | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…aa83backed Falcons | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…92b2backed Falcons | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412b…f117backed Falcons | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…c77fbacked Broncos | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…3791backed Falcons | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…8208backed Falcons | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1f86backed Falcons | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…802cbacked Falcons | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb46c…9e19backed Broncos | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…cbb9backed Falcons | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…ff65backed Broncos | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…08ccbacked Broncos | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…2feebacked Falcons | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…6745backed Broncos | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5986backed Broncos | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…782ebacked Falcons | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…b917backed Falcons | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec27…c9c6backed Falcons | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…35a7backed Broncos | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…ede1backed Falcons | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…96efbacked Falcons | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a48…ee2dbacked Broncos | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbd…664cbacked Broncos | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8a…845abacked Broncos | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac58…b485backed Broncos | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…aed3backed Falcons | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…9098backed Falcons | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…7bb6backed Broncos | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d5…2fe6backed Broncos | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c2…a248backed Broncos | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…fc22backed Broncos | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Falcons | 45c | 4,639$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.53 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Falcons | 30c | 4,398$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.88 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Falcons | 50c | 4,269$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Falcons | 2c | 3,859$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…418abacked Falcons | 45c | 3,800$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1366…bbc3backed Broncos | 55c | 3,800$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Falcons | 5c | 3,571$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.55 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…d9b1backed Falcons | 46c | 3,350$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Broncos | 55c | 3,343$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.85 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…81babacked Falcons | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9234…d4fbbacked Falcons | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…24fcbacked Broncos | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…5006backed Broncos | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Broncos | 55c | 2,750$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.48 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Falcons | 20c | 2,500$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…136fbacked Falcons | 44c | 2,403$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Falcons | 4c | 2,222$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Broncos | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Falcons | 14c | 1,854$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.56 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Falcons | 9c | 1,763$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Broncos | 55c | 1,737$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.25 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Broncos | 63c | 1,586$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.02 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…e0a1backed Broncos | 67c | 1,581$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Falcons | 40c | 1,293$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Falcons | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…9dd4backed Falcons | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Falcons | 15c | 1,111$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…879bbacked Broncos | 71c | 1,091$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Falcons | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Falcons | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Falcons | 6c | 1,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Falcons | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Broncos | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Falcons | 45c | 999.95$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f82dbacked Falcons | 45c | 918.76$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.44 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Falcons | 38c | 900$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8da…785dbacked Broncos | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Falcons | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Broncos | 58c | 755.58$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.51 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Broncos | 63c | 717.89$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.62 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Broncos | 60c | 657.43$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.97 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Broncos | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Broncos | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…5790backed Falcons | 16c | 485.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Broncos | 55c | 444$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…1ccebacked Falcons | 13c | 440.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Falcons | 10c | 436.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…5e5bbacked Falcons | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…4fedbacked Falcons | 3c | 403.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…43fcbacked Falcons | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Broncos | 63c | 399.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Falcons | 21c | 392.53$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Falcons | 44c | 369.93$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Broncos | 55c | 360.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…74e7backed Falcons | 45c | 350.95$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…fbe0backed Broncos | 54c | 350.94$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Broncos | 55c | 333.14$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.24 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…2ba9backed Broncos | 57c | 329.82$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…ad90backed Falcons | 45c | 329.7$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.