Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa31fd909f90ad66b6a9339d4a3fddf299b4d720bcd318484bfb7898fa6f532e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ba9…a9f2backed No | 29c | 90,242$26,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,117 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed Yes | 71c | 51,000$36,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,790 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 71c | 17,470$12,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.42 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…4c92backed No | 29c | 9,300$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed Yes | 71c | 9,259$6,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes | 74c | 7,445$5,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.63 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 64cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 74c | 5,338$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.84 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 26c | 4,722$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.63 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…bfcfbacked No | 27c | 3,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Yes | 73c | 3,251$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…f57dbacked Yes | 74c | 3,107$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 28c | 2,501$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.28 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 27c | 1,920$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.46 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cf…3db3backed Yes | 73c | 1,758$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ec…f8b2backed Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…a7dcbacked Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 27c | 1,128$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.93 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 27c | 1,038$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.13 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,001$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.36 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 28c | 999.95$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 26c | 825.9$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.47 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed No | 29c | 799.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 71c | 799.97$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Yes | 72c | 749.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Yes | 73c | 694.66$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.56 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 72c | 599.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed No | 29c | 550.33$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…03abbacked No | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…7840backed Yes | 73c | 479.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 73c | 414.95$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.04 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 26c | 399.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 71c | 355.75$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 6c | 333.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Yes | 71c | 320.02$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…20ddbacked Yes | 73c | 315.07$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x620e…0775backed Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Yes | 73c | 279.21$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…09a4backed Yes | 73c | 277$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…b2f4backed Yes | 74c | 258.82$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 73c | 250$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed No | 27c | 249.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb894…0ffcbacked Yes | 74c | 227.86$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 28c | 222$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 74c | 208.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 73c | 206.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…4f6dbacked Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 10c | 171.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57a…8313backed Yes | 75c | 162.04$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…025ebacked Yes | 74c | 153.66$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…26e9backed Yes | 74c | 153.09$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49e…118fbacked Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…61cdbacked Yes | 72c | 149.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…ee7dbacked Yes | 74c | 145.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba8…0db7backed No | 26c | 142.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…6871backed Yes | 74c | 135.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc0…9b77backed Yes | 74c | 135.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4d…c898backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…160fbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb783…c20cbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…75f2backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7801…422bbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc637…30b9backed Yes | 74c | 117.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…103abacked Yes | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d2…4fd1backed No | 27c | 101.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed No | 27c | 100.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…9279backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04c…b6ccbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…a592backed Yes | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf839…6154backed Yes | 74c | 99.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…4378backed Yes | 72c | 98.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc39…80d9backed No | 29c | 98.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a4…f801backed Yes | 72c | 91.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…e210backed Yes | 74c | 81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…7d9fbacked Yes | 74c | 80.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 74c | 79.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 27c | 79.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…7191backed Yes | 74c | 78.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…be63backed Yes | 73c | 78.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd792…4eb1backed No | 28c | 78.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad3c…5b6ebacked Yes | 75c | 77.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 73c | 77.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…4a50backed Yes | 73c | 76.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…4f82backed Yes | 74c | 72.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf30…8c02backed No | 28c | 71.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9645…82efbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…5ef3backed No | 28c | 68.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-04?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.